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Politics·Cabo Verde

Cape Verde Presidential Election Winner

icon for Cape Verde Presidential Election Winner
Politics·Cabo Verde

Cape Verde Presidential Election Winner

José Maria Neves 79%

Casimiro de Pina 2.8%

Péricles Tavares 2.4%

Milton Paiva 2.1%

Polymarket

$18,249 Vol.

José Maria Neves 79%

Casimiro de Pina 2.8%

Péricles Tavares 2.4%

Milton Paiva 2.1%

Polymarket

$18,249 Vol.

icon for José Maria Neves

José Maria Neves

$12,280 Vol.

79%

icon for Casimiro de Pina

Casimiro de Pina

$640 Vol.

3%

icon for Péricles Tavares

Péricles Tavares

$772 Vol.

2%

icon for Milton Paiva

Milton Paiva

$394 Vol.

2%

icon for Joana Rosa

Joana Rosa

$1,724 Vol.

1%

icon for Janine Lélis

Janine Lélis

$2,064 Vol.

1%

icon for Fernando Delgado

Fernando Delgado

$375 Vol.

1%

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).José Maria Neves, the incumbent PAICV president elected in 2021, holds the leading position in the November 15, 2026, Cape Verde presidential election market due to his party's recent parliamentary majority secured in May 2026 and his established record in office. Recent actions, including rejecting an attorney general nominee and pausing political ambassador appointments ahead of the September 16 candidate filing deadline, underscore institutional independence during the transition to unified PAICV control of the executive and legislature. MpD figures such as Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa appear among declared challengers but trail significantly, reflecting limited momentum against the incumbent. The two-round system and constitutional requirements for candidates further shape positioning, with traders assigning low probabilities to lesser-known independents amid the dominant party dynamic.

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
Volume
$18,249
End Date
Nov 15, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).José Maria Neves, the incumbent PAICV president elected in 2021, holds the leading position in the November 15, 2026, Cape Verde presidential election market due to his party's recent parliamentary majority secured in May 2026 and his established record in office. Recent actions, including rejecting an attorney general nominee and pausing political ambassador appointments ahead of the September 16 candidate filing deadline, underscore institutional independence during the transition to unified PAICV control of the executive and legislature. MpD figures such as Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa appear among declared challengers but trail significantly, reflecting limited momentum against the incumbent. The two-round system and constitutional requirements for candidates further shape positioning, with traders assigning low probabilities to lesser-known independents amid the dominant party dynamic.

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
Volume
$18,249
End Date
Nov 15, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Cape Verde Presidential Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "José Maria Neves" at 79%, followed by "Casimiro de Pina" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Cape Verde Presidential Election Winner" has generated $18.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Cape Verde Presidential Election Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Cape Verde Presidential Election Winner" is "José Maria Neves" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Casimiro de Pina" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Cape Verde Presidential Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.