Cilia Flores remains in federal pretrial detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn alongside Nicolás Maduro following their January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Venezuela. Both face narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York after pleading not guilty at their January 5 arraignment. The most recent July 22, 2026 hearing set a June 1, 2027 trial date, with defense motions challenging the indictment and asserting head-of-state immunity due by early September and a motions hearing scheduled for November 17. No bail applications have advanced, and standard detention practices for these charges, combined with the extended pretrial timeline and lack of plea developments, anchor trader assessments of release timing. Health-related or diplomatic resolutions remain possible but unconfirmed variables within the case docket.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMaduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
$1,375,071 Vol.
Jan 30, 2026
December 31
14%
$1,375,071 Vol.
December 31
$328,469 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores remains in federal pretrial detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn alongside Nicolás Maduro following their January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Venezuela. Both face narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York after pleading not guilty at their January 5 arraignment. The most recent July 22, 2026 hearing set a June 1, 2027 trial date, with defense motions challenging the indictment and asserting head-of-state immunity due by early September and a motions hearing scheduled for November 17. No bail applications have advanced, and standard detention practices for these charges, combined with the extended pretrial timeline and lack of plea developments, anchor trader assessments of release timing. Health-related or diplomatic resolutions remain possible but unconfirmed variables within the case docket.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Volume
$1,375,071End Date
Jan 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores remains in federal pretrial detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn alongside Nicolás Maduro following their January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Venezuela. Both face narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York after pleading not guilty at their January 5 arraignment. The most recent July 22, 2026 hearing set a June 1, 2027 trial date, with defense motions challenging the indictment and asserting head-of-state immunity due by early September and a motions hearing scheduled for November 17. No bail applications have advanced, and standard detention practices for these charges, combined with the extended pretrial timeline and lack of plea developments, anchor trader assessments of release timing. Health-related or diplomatic resolutions remain possible but unconfirmed variables within the case docket.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,375,071End Date
Jan 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Cilia Flores remains in federal pretrial detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn alongside Nicolás Maduro following their January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Venezuela. Both face narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York after pleading not guilty at their January 5 arraignment. The most recent July 22, 2026 hearing set a June 1, 2027 trial date, with defense motions challenging the indictment and asserting head-of-state immunity due by early September and a motions hearing scheduled for November 17. No bail applications have advanced, and standard detention practices for these charges, combined with the extended pretrial timeline and lack of plea developments, anchor trader assessments of release timing. Health-related or diplomatic resolutions remain possible but unconfirmed variables within the case docket.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions