Incumbent Democratic Representative Jason Crow faces Republican nominee Jason Ray Clark in Colorado’s 6th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and has been rated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Crow won unopposed in the June 30 Democratic primary and previously secured nearly 59 percent of the vote in 2024, supported by substantial fundraising and established voter support in suburban areas around Aurora. Clark advanced unopposed in the Republican primary but shows limited campaign resources. These structural advantages, including consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and statewide results, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A significant national political shift, major candidate-specific development, or unusually low turnout could narrow margins, though the district’s partisan baseline limits such scenarios.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCO-06 House Election Winner
$27,895 Vol.
$27,895 Vol.
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$27,895 Vol.
$27,895 Vol.
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Jason Crow faces Republican nominee Jason Ray Clark in Colorado’s 6th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and has been rated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Crow won unopposed in the June 30 Democratic primary and previously secured nearly 59 percent of the vote in 2024, supported by substantial fundraising and established voter support in suburban areas around Aurora. Clark advanced unopposed in the Republican primary but shows limited campaign resources. These structural advantages, including consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and statewide results, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A significant national political shift, major candidate-specific development, or unusually low turnout could narrow margins, though the district’s partisan baseline limits such scenarios.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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