**Republican incumbent Jeff Crank holds a clear edge over Democrat Jessica Killin in Colorado’s 5th congressional district for the November 3, 2026, general election.** The district, anchored in Colorado Springs and its suburbs, has never elected a Democrat since its creation in 1972 and gave Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump a 53–44% margin in 2024. Crank won the open seat in 2024 by roughly 14 points and ran unopposed in the June 30 Republican primary. Killin, a U.S. Army veteran and former congressional staffer, won the Democratic primary with 63% and outraised Crank through mid-June. A July Democratic poll showed the race essentially tied (Crank 45%, Killin 44%), and Inside Elections shifted its rating from Likely Republican to Lean Republican in late August. Forecasters otherwise continue to rate the seat Likely or Lean Republican, reflecting the district’s underlying partisan tilt, Crank’s incumbency, and the absence of major recent disruptions such as scandals or significant polling shifts. Minor-party and unaffiliated candidates are also on the ballot but are not expected to alter the two-party outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCO-05 House Election Winner
CO-05 House Election Winner
$12,304 Vol.
$12,304 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
72%
Democratic Party
29%
$12,304 Vol.
$12,304 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$2,016 Vol.
72%
Democratic Party
$10,288 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican incumbent Jeff Crank holds a clear edge over Democrat Jessica Killin in Colorado’s 5th congressional district for the November 3, 2026, general election.** The district, anchored in Colorado Springs and its suburbs, has never elected a Democrat since its creation in 1972 and gave Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump a 53–44% margin in 2024. Crank won the open seat in 2024 by roughly 14 points and ran unopposed in the June 30 Republican primary.
Killin, a U.S. Army veteran and former congressional staffer, won the Democratic primary with 63% and outraised Crank through mid-June. A July Democratic poll showed the race essentially tied (Crank 45%, Killin 44%), and Inside Elections shifted its rating from Likely Republican to Lean Republican in late August. Forecasters otherwise continue to rate the seat Likely or Lean Republican, reflecting the district’s underlying partisan tilt, Crank’s incumbency, and the absence of major recent disruptions such as scandals or significant polling shifts. Minor-party and unaffiliated candidates are also on the ballot but are not expected to alter the two-party outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$12,304End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican incumbent Jeff Crank holds a clear edge over Democrat Jessica Killin in Colorado’s 5th congressional district for the November 3, 2026, general election.** The district, anchored in Colorado Springs and its suburbs, has never elected a Democrat since its creation in 1972 and gave Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump a 53–44% margin in 2024. Crank won the open seat in 2024 by roughly 14 points and ran unopposed in the June 30 Republican primary.
Killin, a U.S. Army veteran and former congressional staffer, won the Democratic primary with 63% and outraised Crank through mid-June. A July Democratic poll showed the race essentially tied (Crank 45%, Killin 44%), and Inside Elections shifted its rating from Likely Republican to Lean Republican in late August. Forecasters otherwise continue to rate the seat Likely or Lean Republican, reflecting the district’s underlying partisan tilt, Crank’s incumbency, and the absence of major recent disruptions such as scandals or significant polling shifts. Minor-party and unaffiliated candidates are also on the ballot but are not expected to alter the two-party outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,304End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican incumbent Jeff Crank holds a clear edge over Democrat Jessica Killin in Colorado’s 5th congressional district for the November 3, 2026, general election.** The district, anchored in Colorado Springs and its suburbs, has never elected a Democrat since its creation in 1972 and gave Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump a 53–44% margin in 2024. Crank won the open seat in 2024 by roughly 14 points and ran unopposed in the June 30 Republican primary. Killin, a U.S. Army veteran and former congressional staffer, won the Democratic primary with 63% and outraised Crank through mid-June. A July Democratic poll showed the race essentially tied (Crank 45%, Killin 44%), and Inside Elections shifted its rating from Likely Republican to Lean Republican in late August. Forecasters otherwise continue to rate the seat Likely or Lean Republican, reflecting the district’s underlying partisan tilt, Crank’s incumbency, and the absence of major recent disruptions such as scandals or significant polling shifts. Minor-party and unaffiliated candidates are also on the ballot but are not expected to alter the two-party outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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