**Trader sentiment on confirmed livestock screwworm cases beyond Texas reflects the USDA’s aggressive containment since the first U.S. detection on June 3, 2026, in Zavala County, Texas.** As of August 26, 2026, official APHIS data show roughly 46 total U.S. animal cases, with all livestock detections (cattle, sheep, goats) limited to Texas counties under quarantine; the sole case outside Texas involved a dog in New Mexico’s Lea County. Sterile fly releases, animal movement restrictions, enhanced surveillance, and the August 24 phased reopening of select Arizona and New Mexico ports under joint U.S.-Mexico protocols have kept spread contained. No wild-fly detections or livestock cases have been reported in additional states. Upcoming quarterly playbook reviews and daily USDA dashboard updates on active cases and fly traps will provide the next measurable signals for traders assessing further geographic expansion risk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedConfirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...
NEW
August 30
20%
October 31
70%
December 31
63%
$4,734 Vol.
August 30
$1,544 Vol.
20%
October 31
$521 Vol.
70%
December 31
$534 Vol.
63%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**Trader sentiment on confirmed livestock screwworm cases beyond Texas reflects the USDA’s aggressive containment since the first U.S. detection on June 3, 2026, in Zavala County, Texas.** As of August 26, 2026, official APHIS data show roughly 46 total U.S. animal cases, with all livestock detections (cattle, sheep, goats) limited to Texas counties under quarantine; the sole case outside Texas involved a dog in New Mexico’s Lea County. Sterile fly releases, animal movement restrictions, enhanced surveillance, and the August 24 phased reopening of select Arizona and New Mexico ports under joint U.S.-Mexico protocols have kept spread contained. No wild-fly detections or livestock cases have been reported in additional states. Upcoming quarterly playbook reviews and daily USDA dashboard updates on active cases and fly traps will provide the next measurable signals for traders assessing further geographic expansion risk.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
Volume
$4,734Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**Trader sentiment on confirmed livestock screwworm cases beyond Texas reflects the USDA’s aggressive containment since the first U.S. detection on June 3, 2026, in Zavala County, Texas.** As of August 26, 2026, official APHIS data show roughly 46 total U.S. animal cases, with all livestock detections (cattle, sheep, goats) limited to Texas counties under quarantine; the sole case outside Texas involved a dog in New Mexico’s Lea County. Sterile fly releases, animal movement restrictions, enhanced surveillance, and the August 24 phased reopening of select Arizona and New Mexico ports under joint U.S.-Mexico protocols have kept spread contained. No wild-fly detections or livestock cases have been reported in additional states. Upcoming quarterly playbook reviews and daily USDA dashboard updates on active cases and fly traps will provide the next measurable signals for traders assessing further geographic expansion risk.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$4,734Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader sentiment on confirmed livestock screwworm cases beyond Texas reflects the USDA’s aggressive containment since the first U.S. detection on June 3, 2026, in Zavala County, Texas.** As of August 26, 2026, official APHIS data show roughly 46 total U.S. animal cases, with all livestock detections (cattle, sheep, goats) limited to Texas counties under quarantine; the sole case outside Texas involved a dog in New Mexico’s Lea County. Sterile fly releases, animal movement restrictions, enhanced surveillance, and the August 24 phased reopening of select Arizona and New Mexico ports under joint U.S.-Mexico protocols have kept spread contained. No wild-fly detections or livestock cases have been reported in additional states. Upcoming quarterly playbook reviews and daily USDA dashboard updates on active cases and fly traps will provide the next measurable signals for traders assessing further geographic expansion risk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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