**Wellington, New Zealand—the world’s windiest city due to its exposure on the Cook Strait—has already recorded a peak gust of 168 km/h at the exposed Mt Kaukau site on August 23, 2026.** This single event, driven by a strong Tasman Sea front and consistent with the region’s Roaring Forties climatology, places the monthly maximum well above the 104 km/h threshold. Official MetService observations confirm gusts of this magnitude are frequent in winter and early spring, with historical August maxima often exceeding 130 km/h at hilltop stations. The near-certain market pricing reflects this verified data point, with only remote possibilities of reclassification or measurement revision altering the outcome. Remaining days offer little scope for reversal unless an unprecedented downward correction occurs in post-event verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPeak wind gust in the world's windiest city in August
104 km/h or above 99.8%
93 km/h or below <1%
94 to 103 km/h <1%
93 km/h or below
<1%
94 to 103 km/h
<1%
104 km/h or above
100%
104 km/h or above 99.8%
93 km/h or below <1%
94 to 103 km/h <1%
93 km/h or below
<1%
94 to 103 km/h
<1%
104 km/h or above
100%
The resolution source for this market is the gust value in the wind group of NZWN's raw METAR/SPECI observations, encoded in knots (for example, "34020G45KT" denotes a 45-knot gust), as archived by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM) for station NZWN in network NF__ASOS ("New Zealand ASOS"). Gust speed is converted from knots using 1 kt = 1.852 km/h, rounded half-up to the nearest whole number. Because gusts are reported in whole knots, no observed gust converts to a value on a bracket boundary, so every observation maps to exactly one range.
The month's highest gust can be located via the IEM Data Calendar for NZWN: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/sites/hist.phtml?network=NF__ASOS&year=2026&month=8&mode=monthly&station=NZWN. Each calendar day displays that day's peak gust inline; clicking a day's date opens the daily Summary for NF__ASOS, where the Peak Gust column in the NZWN (Wellington) row shows the day's maximum. Ensure station NZWN is selected, as the NF__ASOS network includes other New Zealand stations. Note that the IEM calendar and summary pages display gusts in mph; resolution is based on the knot value in the underlying raw METAR, which IEM archives alongside each parsed observation and which can be used to independently verify any value.
If any observations are missing or unavailable, this market will resolve to the range containing the highest gust reported during the resolution window. Should the IEM archive be unavailable or discontinued, this market will resolve based on the equivalent raw METAR/SPECI observations for NZWN from another credible archive or the original reporting authority.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
The resolution source for this market is the gust value in the wind group of NZWN's raw METAR/SPECI observations, encoded in knots (for example, "34020G45KT" denotes a 45-knot gust), as archived by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM) for station NZWN in network NF__ASOS ("New Zealand ASOS"). Gust speed is converted from knots using 1 kt = 1.852 km/h, rounded half-up to the nearest whole number. Because gusts are reported in whole knots, no observed gust converts to a value on a bracket boundary, so every observation maps to exactly one range.
The month's highest gust can be located via the IEM Data Calendar for NZWN: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/sites/hist.phtml?network=NF__ASOS&year=2026&month=8&mode=monthly&station=NZWN. Each calendar day displays that day's peak gust inline; clicking a day's date opens the daily Summary for NF__ASOS, where the Peak Gust column in the NZWN (Wellington) row shows the day's maximum. Ensure station NZWN is selected, as the NF__ASOS network includes other New Zealand stations. Note that the IEM calendar and summary pages display gusts in mph; resolution is based on the knot value in the underlying raw METAR, which IEM archives alongside each parsed observation and which can be used to independently verify any value.
If any observations are missing or unavailable, this market will resolve to the range containing the highest gust reported during the resolution window. Should the IEM archive be unavailable or discontinued, this market will resolve based on the equivalent raw METAR/SPECI observations for NZWN from another credible archive or the original reporting authority.
**Wellington, New Zealand—the world’s windiest city due to its exposure on the Cook Strait—has already recorded a peak gust of 168 km/h at the exposed Mt Kaukau site on August 23, 2026.** This single event, driven by a strong Tasman Sea front and consistent with the region’s Roaring Forties climatology, places the monthly maximum well above the 104 km/h threshold. Official MetService observations confirm gusts of this magnitude are frequent in winter and early spring, with historical August maxima often exceeding 130 km/h at hilltop stations. The near-certain market pricing reflects this verified data point, with only remote possibilities of reclassification or measurement revision altering the outcome. Remaining days offer little scope for reversal unless an unprecedented downward correction occurs in post-event verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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