President Donald Trump’s established Truth Social activity as president, averaging 19–24 posts daily through 2026 with frequent late-night clusters and multi-post bursts, underpins trader consensus for the 200+ outcome in the August 25–September 1 window. Ongoing foreign policy engagement, including developments tied to the Iran conflict, has correlated with elevated output in recent months, alongside routine White House messaging on domestic and political topics. This pattern of consistent volume, punctuated by spikes exceeding 40 posts in short periods, supports the dominant implied probability. A shift to markedly lower activity would require an unusually quiet stretch without scheduled announcements or external catalysts, though historical data shows such lulls remain infrequent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated200+ 93%
180-199 7%
140-159 <1%
160-179 <1%
$19,764 Vol.
$19,764 Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
140-159
1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
7%
200+
93%
200+ 93%
180-199 7%
140-159 <1%
160-179 <1%
$19,764 Vol.
$19,764 Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
140-159
$1,640 Vol.
1%
160-179
$2,309 Vol.
<1%
180-199
$3,271 Vol.
7%
200+
$7,565 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump’s established Truth Social activity as president, averaging 19–24 posts daily through 2026 with frequent late-night clusters and multi-post bursts, underpins trader consensus for the 200+ outcome in the August 25–September 1 window. Ongoing foreign policy engagement, including developments tied to the Iran conflict, has correlated with elevated output in recent months, alongside routine White House messaging on domestic and political topics. This pattern of consistent volume, punctuated by spikes exceeding 40 posts in short periods, supports the dominant implied probability. A shift to markedly lower activity would require an unusually quiet stretch without scheduled announcements or external catalysts, though historical data shows such lulls remain infrequent.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$19,764End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump’s established Truth Social activity as president, averaging 19–24 posts daily through 2026 with frequent late-night clusters and multi-post bursts, underpins trader consensus for the 200+ outcome in the August 25–September 1 window. Ongoing foreign policy engagement, including developments tied to the Iran conflict, has correlated with elevated output in recent months, alongside routine White House messaging on domestic and political topics. This pattern of consistent volume, punctuated by spikes exceeding 40 posts in short periods, supports the dominant implied probability. A shift to markedly lower activity would require an unusually quiet stretch without scheduled announcements or external catalysts, though historical data shows such lulls remain infrequent.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$19,764End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Donald Trump’s established Truth Social activity as president, averaging 19–24 posts daily through 2026 with frequent late-night clusters and multi-post bursts, underpins trader consensus for the 200+ outcome in the August 25–September 1 window. Ongoing foreign policy engagement, including developments tied to the Iran conflict, has correlated with elevated output in recent months, alongside routine White House messaging on domestic and political topics. This pattern of consistent volume, punctuated by spikes exceeding 40 posts in short periods, supports the dominant implied probability. A shift to markedly lower activity would require an unusually quiet stretch without scheduled announcements or external catalysts, though historical data shows such lulls remain infrequent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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