Elon Musk’s posting cadence on X has settled into a steady mid-August rhythm of roughly 25–30 main-feed items daily, including reposts and quotes on Starship Flight 14 preparations, Grok updates, and political commentary, positioning the 840-879 bracket as the clear market favorite. Recent three-day windows resolving in the 40-64 range have reinforced trader expectations that the month will finish near the historical average without a late surge or slowdown. With only two days remaining and no major product launches or controversies timed to spike volume, the 880-919 tier offers the primary alternative if engagement ticks higher, while lower and higher brackets remain long shots given the locked-in pace.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated840-879 63.4%
880-919 28%
800-839 5.8%
920-959 3.8%
$485,282 Vol.
$485,282 Vol.
800-839
6%
840-879
63%
880-919
28%
920-959
4%
960-999
1%
1000+
1%
840-879 63.4%
880-919 28%
800-839 5.8%
920-959 3.8%
$485,282 Vol.
$485,282 Vol.
800-839
6%
840-879
63%
880-919
28%
920-959
4%
960-999
1%
1000+
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s posting cadence on X has settled into a steady mid-August rhythm of roughly 25–30 main-feed items daily, including reposts and quotes on Starship Flight 14 preparations, Grok updates, and political commentary, positioning the 840-879 bracket as the clear market favorite. Recent three-day windows resolving in the 40-64 range have reinforced trader expectations that the month will finish near the historical average without a late surge or slowdown. With only two days remaining and no major product launches or controversies timed to spike volume, the 880-919 tier offers the primary alternative if engagement ticks higher, while lower and higher brackets remain long shots given the locked-in pace.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions