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icon for # of views of MrBeast video week 1? (Smaller Strikes)

# of views of MrBeast video week 1? (Smaller Strikes)

icon for # of views of MrBeast video week 1? (Smaller Strikes)

# of views of MrBeast video week 1? (Smaller Strikes)

Aug 29

Aug 29

75-76M 97.7%

74-75M <1%

<72M <1%

72-73M <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$25,309 Vol.

75-76M 97.7%

74-75M <1%

<72M <1%

72-73M <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$25,309 Vol.

<72M

$496 Vol.

<1%

72-73M

$164 Vol.

<1%

73-74M

$1,282 Vol.

<1%

74-75M

$7,128 Vol.

<1%

75-76M

$8,332 Vol.

98%

76-77M

$2,033 Vol.

<1%

77-78M

$3,017 Vol.

<1%

78-79M

$1,032 Vol.

<1%

79M+

$2,411 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast’s “Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000” challenge video, released August 22, has shown steady early accumulation that places it on track for 75–76 million first-week views, driving the 97.2% market-implied probability. Traders are pricing the outcome on consistent hourly gains, strong algorithmic promotion within YouTube’s recommendation engine, and MrBeast’s proven subscriber base that reliably delivers mid-70-million week-one totals for comparable challenge titles. Historical patterns for similar releases indicate limited late-week volatility once day-three and day-four benchmarks are met. An upset would require an atypical view purge, sudden deboost, or unexpected plateau below 74 million, while an improbable cross-platform Shorts surge or external media boost could push totals into the next bracket.

This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$25,309
End Date
Aug 29, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 11:26 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast’s “Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000” challenge video, released August 22, has shown steady early accumulation that places it on track for 75–76 million first-week views, driving the 97.2% market-implied probability. Traders are pricing the outcome on consistent hourly gains, strong algorithmic promotion within YouTube’s recommendation engine, and MrBeast’s proven subscriber base that reliably delivers mid-70-million week-one totals for comparable challenge titles. Historical patterns for similar releases indicate limited late-week volatility once day-three and day-four benchmarks are met. An upset would require an atypical view purge, sudden deboost, or unexpected plateau below 74 million, while an improbable cross-platform Shorts surge or external media boost could push totals into the next bracket.

This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$25,309
End Date
Aug 29, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 11:26 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"# of views of MrBeast video week 1? (Smaller Strikes)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "75-76M" at 98%, followed by "<72M" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "# of views of MrBeast video week 1? (Smaller Strikes)" has generated $25.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "# of views of MrBeast video week 1? (Smaller Strikes)," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "# of views of MrBeast video week 1? (Smaller Strikes)" is "75-76M" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<72M" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "# of views of MrBeast video week 1? (Smaller Strikes)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.