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icon for Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner

Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner

icon for Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner

Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner

Ella Langley 42%

SIENNA SPIRO 28%

Dijon 2.1%

Megan Moroney 2.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Ella Langley 42%

SIENNA SPIRO 28%

Dijon 2.1%

Megan Moroney 2.0%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Ella Langley

Ella Langley

$3,330 Vol.

42%

icon for SIENNA SPIRO

SIENNA SPIRO

$1,384 Vol.

28%

icon for Dijon

Dijon

$91 Vol.

2%

icon for Megan Moroney

Megan Moroney

$62 Vol.

2%

icon for Slayyyter

Slayyyter

$82 Vol.

2%

icon for Jessie Murph

Jessie Murph

$111 Vol.

2%

icon for Black Country, New Road

Black Country, New Road

$91 Vol.

2%

icon for SAILORR

SAILORR

$111 Vol.

2%

icon for Skye Newman

Skye Newman

$111 Vol.

2%

icon for Bella Kay

Bella Kay

$29 Vol.

2%

icon for Sasha Keable

Sasha Keable

$131 Vol.

2%

icon for PARTYOF2

PARTYOF2

$91 Vol.

2%

icon for Jordan Ward

Jordan Ward

$111 Vol.

2%

icon for Loe Shimmy

Loe Shimmy

$91 Vol.

2%

icon for Adéla

Adéla

$62 Vol.

2%

icon for Magdalena Bay

Magdalena Bay

$91 Vol.

2%

icon for The Beaches

The Beaches

$91 Vol.

2%

icon for CMAT

CMAT

$111 Vol.

2%

icon for Yazmin Lacey

Yazmin Lacey

$111 Vol.

2%

icon for Ninajirachi

Ninajirachi

$111 Vol.

2%

icon for Oklou

Oklou

$91 Vol.

2%

icon for EsDeeKid

EsDeeKid

$91 Vol.

2%

icon for Model/Actriz

Model/Actriz

$131 Vol.

2%

icon for Mk.gee

Mk.gee

$91 Vol.

2%

icon for The Last Dinner Party

The Last Dinner Party

$131 Vol.

1%

icon for BigXthaPlug

BigXthaPlug

$131 Vol.

1%

icon for JADE

JADE

$131 Vol.

1%

icon for Geese

Geese

$62 Vol.

1%

icon for Renee Rapp

Renee Rapp

$61 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nami

Nami

$111 Vol.

<1%

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed artist that wins Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards. If an artist is not officially nominated for Best New Artist when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.**Ella Langley's chart dominance and a June 2026 Recording Academy rule change extending Best New Artist eligibility from three to four submissions have positioned her as the clear frontrunner in the Grammys 2027 market.** Her sophomore album *Dandelion* debuted at No. 1 on the Billboard 200, powered by the record-setting country crossover single “Choosin’ Texas,” which delivered historic Hot 100 and country chart runs alongside strong CMA Awards momentum. Sienna Spiro trails as the main challenger, riding her July 2026 debut album *Visitor*, the global hit “Die on This Hill,” sold-out tours, and Brit Critics’ Choice buzz in a soul-pop lane. The wide field of other names remains fragmented with minimal implied probability, reflecting the absence of comparable recent breakthroughs or precursor signals this early in the cycle ahead of November nominations.

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed artist that wins Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards.

If an artist is not officially nominated for Best New Artist when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$7,426
End Date
Feb 7, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed artist that wins Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards. If an artist is not officially nominated for Best New Artist when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.
The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed artist that wins Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards. If an artist is not officially nominated for Best New Artist when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.**Ella Langley's chart dominance and a June 2026 Recording Academy rule change extending Best New Artist eligibility from three to four submissions have positioned her as the clear frontrunner in the Grammys 2027 market.** Her sophomore album *Dandelion* debuted at No. 1 on the Billboard 200, powered by the record-setting country crossover single “Choosin’ Texas,” which delivered historic Hot 100 and country chart runs alongside strong CMA Awards momentum. Sienna Spiro trails as the main challenger, riding her July 2026 debut album *Visitor*, the global hit “Die on This Hill,” sold-out tours, and Brit Critics’ Choice buzz in a soul-pop lane. The wide field of other names remains fragmented with minimal implied probability, reflecting the absence of comparable recent breakthroughs or precursor signals this early in the cycle ahead of November nominations.

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed artist that wins Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards.

If an artist is not officially nominated for Best New Artist when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$7,426
End Date
Feb 7, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed artist that wins Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards. If an artist is not officially nominated for Best New Artist when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.

Related

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Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

36%
icon for Will Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Will Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

27%
icon for Will the cure (Olivia Rodrigo) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Will the cure (Olivia Rodrigo) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

22%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ella Langley" at 42%, followed by "SIENNA SPIRO" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner" is "Ella Langley" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "SIENNA SPIRO" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.