Traders assign overwhelming probability (95.5%) to a 33°C high in Lucknow on August 29, 2026, reflecting India Meteorological Department observations and forecasts of persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and monsoon moisture that cap daytime heating. Recent data show the prior day's maximum at 33.5°C amid light rain, with model consensus and official outlooks pointing to similar conditions today—isolated to scattered showers, high humidity near 80-95%, and limited solar insolation—keeping the peak near or below the long-term August average of roughly 31-34°C. A narrow window for 34°C or higher exists only if convective activity weakens substantially and skies clear for several hours, allowing greater surface warming before evening storms; otherwise, the market-implied odds align closely with verified observational trends and forecast guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 29?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 29?
33°C 97%
34°C 5%
35°C or higher 2%
25°C or below <1%
$22,078 Vol.
$22,078 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
97%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
2%
33°C 97%
34°C 5%
35°C or higher 2%
25°C or below <1%
$22,078 Vol.
$22,078 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
25°C or below
$383 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$421 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$383 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$489 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$518 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,324 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,758 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$8,335 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,400 Vol.
97%
34°C
$1,617 Vol.
5%
35°C or higher
$1,449 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign overwhelming probability (95.5%) to a 33°C high in Lucknow on August 29, 2026, reflecting India Meteorological Department observations and forecasts of persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and monsoon moisture that cap daytime heating. Recent data show the prior day's maximum at 33.5°C amid light rain, with model consensus and official outlooks pointing to similar conditions today—isolated to scattered showers, high humidity near 80-95%, and limited solar insolation—keeping the peak near or below the long-term August average of roughly 31-34°C. A narrow window for 34°C or higher exists only if convective activity weakens substantially and skies clear for several hours, allowing greater surface warming before evening storms; otherwise, the market-implied odds align closely with verified observational trends and forecast guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$22,078End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign overwhelming probability (95.5%) to a 33°C high in Lucknow on August 29, 2026, reflecting India Meteorological Department observations and forecasts of persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and monsoon moisture that cap daytime heating. Recent data show the prior day's maximum at 33.5°C amid light rain, with model consensus and official outlooks pointing to similar conditions today—isolated to scattered showers, high humidity near 80-95%, and limited solar insolation—keeping the peak near or below the long-term August average of roughly 31-34°C. A narrow window for 34°C or higher exists only if convective activity weakens substantially and skies clear for several hours, allowing greater surface warming before evening storms; otherwise, the market-implied odds align closely with verified observational trends and forecast guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,078End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign overwhelming probability (95.5%) to a 33°C high in Lucknow on August 29, 2026, reflecting India Meteorological Department observations and forecasts of persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and monsoon moisture that cap daytime heating. Recent data show the prior day's maximum at 33.5°C amid light rain, with model consensus and official outlooks pointing to similar conditions today—isolated to scattered showers, high humidity near 80-95%, and limited solar insolation—keeping the peak near or below the long-term August average of roughly 31-34°C. A narrow window for 34°C or higher exists only if convective activity weakens substantially and skies clear for several hours, allowing greater surface warming before evening storms; otherwise, the market-implied odds align closely with verified observational trends and forecast guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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