Recent official IMD guidance for Lucknow on August 29 projects a minimum of 28°C under partly cloudy skies with possible thunderstorms, consistent with the market's leading 28°C outcome at 33% implied probability. High humidity near 90% and monsoon moisture limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while variable overnight cloud cover and light winds introduce 1–2°C uncertainty across models. Ensemble spreads and recent observations (26–27°C lows) support the tight clustering around 25–28°C, as clearer intervals could dip toward 26°C and persistent cloud or rain would hold temperatures nearer 28°C. Traders weigh these factors against climatological August minima near 27°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on August 29?
25°C 36%
26°C 36%
27°C 27%
24°C 24%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
11%
23°C
20%
24°C
24%
25°C
36%
26°C
36%
27°C
27%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 36%
26°C 36%
27°C 27%
24°C 24%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$145 Vol.
11%
23°C
$218 Vol.
20%
24°C
$40 Vol.
24%
25°C
$0 Vol.
36%
26°C
$0 Vol.
36%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$250 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$325 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$25 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official IMD guidance for Lucknow on August 29 projects a minimum of 28°C under partly cloudy skies with possible thunderstorms, consistent with the market's leading 28°C outcome at 33% implied probability. High humidity near 90% and monsoon moisture limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while variable overnight cloud cover and light winds introduce 1–2°C uncertainty across models. Ensemble spreads and recent observations (26–27°C lows) support the tight clustering around 25–28°C, as clearer intervals could dip toward 26°C and persistent cloud or rain would hold temperatures nearer 28°C. Traders weigh these factors against climatological August minima near 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,068End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official IMD guidance for Lucknow on August 29 projects a minimum of 28°C under partly cloudy skies with possible thunderstorms, consistent with the market's leading 28°C outcome at 33% implied probability. High humidity near 90% and monsoon moisture limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while variable overnight cloud cover and light winds introduce 1–2°C uncertainty across models. Ensemble spreads and recent observations (26–27°C lows) support the tight clustering around 25–28°C, as clearer intervals could dip toward 26°C and persistent cloud or rain would hold temperatures nearer 28°C. Traders weigh these factors against climatological August minima near 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,068End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official IMD guidance for Lucknow on August 29 projects a minimum of 28°C under partly cloudy skies with possible thunderstorms, consistent with the market's leading 28°C outcome at 33% implied probability. High humidity near 90% and monsoon moisture limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while variable overnight cloud cover and light winds introduce 1–2°C uncertainty across models. Ensemble spreads and recent observations (26–27°C lows) support the tight clustering around 25–28°C, as clearer intervals could dip toward 26°C and persistent cloud or rain would hold temperatures nearer 28°C. Traders weigh these factors against climatological August minima near 27°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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