Recent official India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow indicate a minimum temperature near 28°C on August 30 amid a weakening low-pressure system and reduced monsoon rainfall, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C. High humidity levels near 80–95% combined with persistent cloud cover and light winds have limited nocturnal radiative cooling in recent days, while any break in cloudiness or stronger surface winds could allow temperatures to dip toward 26°C or below. Model consensus shows modest variability tied to thunderstorm timing and steering patterns, with traders weighting the balance between typical monsoon baselines and short-term synoptic shifts ahead of final verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on August 30?
24°C 48%
25°C 48%
29°C 48%
27°C 36%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
10%
23°C
25%
24°C
48%
25°C
48%
26°C
30%
27°C
36%
28°C
28%
29°C
48%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
18%
24°C 48%
25°C 48%
29°C 48%
27°C 36%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$33 Vol.
1%
22°C
$5 Vol.
10%
23°C
$0 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
48%
25°C
$0 Vol.
48%
26°C
$0 Vol.
30%
27°C
$0 Vol.
36%
28°C
$0 Vol.
28%
29°C
$0 Vol.
48%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow indicate a minimum temperature near 28°C on August 30 amid a weakening low-pressure system and reduced monsoon rainfall, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C. High humidity levels near 80–95% combined with persistent cloud cover and light winds have limited nocturnal radiative cooling in recent days, while any break in cloudiness or stronger surface winds could allow temperatures to dip toward 26°C or below. Model consensus shows modest variability tied to thunderstorm timing and steering patterns, with traders weighting the balance between typical monsoon baselines and short-term synoptic shifts ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$48End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow indicate a minimum temperature near 28°C on August 30 amid a weakening low-pressure system and reduced monsoon rainfall, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C. High humidity levels near 80–95% combined with persistent cloud cover and light winds have limited nocturnal radiative cooling in recent days, while any break in cloudiness or stronger surface winds could allow temperatures to dip toward 26°C or below. Model consensus shows modest variability tied to thunderstorm timing and steering patterns, with traders weighting the balance between typical monsoon baselines and short-term synoptic shifts ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$48End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow indicate a minimum temperature near 28°C on August 30 amid a weakening low-pressure system and reduced monsoon rainfall, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C. High humidity levels near 80–95% combined with persistent cloud cover and light winds have limited nocturnal radiative cooling in recent days, while any break in cloudiness or stronger surface winds could allow temperatures to dip toward 26°C or below. Model consensus shows modest variability tied to thunderstorm timing and steering patterns, with traders weighting the balance between typical monsoon baselines and short-term synoptic shifts ahead of final verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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