**Howard Lutnick remains actively engaged as Secretary of Commerce in late August 2026, with no confirmed signals of an imminent departure.** He continues to lead on tariff policy, including his recent intervention that contributed to the collapse of U.S.-Canada trade talks and prompted new duties, alongside ongoing discussions with South Korean officials on investment projects and efforts to expand domestic semiconductor and memory chip production. Earlier speculation in April 2026 about possible Cabinet adjustments never materialized, and the White House reaffirmed support for his work on trade and manufacturing priorities. Democratic calls for his resignation tied to past Epstein-related matters also produced no institutional action. These factors align with trader consensus reflected in the 74.5% probability that he stays through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated25% chance
$19,132 Vol.
$19,132 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
25% chance
$19,132 Vol.
$19,132 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Howard Lutnick remains actively engaged as Secretary of Commerce in late August 2026, with no confirmed signals of an imminent departure.** He continues to lead on tariff policy, including his recent intervention that contributed to the collapse of U.S.-Canada trade talks and prompted new duties, alongside ongoing discussions with South Korean officials on investment projects and efforts to expand domestic semiconductor and memory chip production. Earlier speculation in April 2026 about possible Cabinet adjustments never materialized, and the White House reaffirmed support for his work on trade and manufacturing priorities. Democratic calls for his resignation tied to past Epstein-related matters also produced no institutional action. These factors align with trader consensus reflected in the 74.5% probability that he stays through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 31, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
Volume
$19,132End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 4:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Howard Lutnick remains actively engaged as Secretary of Commerce in late August 2026, with no confirmed signals of an imminent departure.** He continues to lead on tariff policy, including his recent intervention that contributed to the collapse of U.S.-Canada trade talks and prompted new duties, alongside ongoing discussions with South Korean officials on investment projects and efforts to expand domestic semiconductor and memory chip production. Earlier speculation in April 2026 about possible Cabinet adjustments never materialized, and the White House reaffirmed support for his work on trade and manufacturing priorities. Democratic calls for his resignation tied to past Epstein-related matters also produced no institutional action. These factors align with trader consensus reflected in the 74.5% probability that he stays through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$19,132End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 4:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Howard Lutnick remains actively engaged as Secretary of Commerce in late August 2026, with no confirmed signals of an imminent departure.** He continues to lead on tariff policy, including his recent intervention that contributed to the collapse of U.S.-Canada trade talks and prompted new duties, alongside ongoing discussions with South Korean officials on investment projects and efforts to expand domestic semiconductor and memory chip production. Earlier speculation in April 2026 about possible Cabinet adjustments never materialized, and the White House reaffirmed support for his work on trade and manufacturing priorities. Democratic calls for his resignation tied to past Epstein-related matters also produced no institutional action. These factors align with trader consensus reflected in the 74.5% probability that he stays through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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