Kim Kardashian’s failure on the July 2025 California bar exam, followed by her decision to skip both 2026 sittings amid a packed filming and production schedule for projects like the Hulu series All’s Fair, has anchored trader skepticism. Reports confirm she completed her six-year Law Office Study Program apprenticeship in 2025 yet remains focused on other business and family priorities, publicly leaning into the setback through a July 2026 energy-drink campaign where she quipped about not passing the bar. With the earliest realistic retake window now February or July 2027 and results typically arriving months later, the 93.5% implied probability on “No” reflects broad consensus that an announcement by year-end 2027 faces steep logistical and preparation hurdles. A sudden schedule shift enabling intensive study and a successful sitting could still alter momentum.