Incumbent Bryan Paterson holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Kingston, Ontario mayoral race due to his 12-year tenure since 2014, decisive prior victories, and June 2026 re-election announcement emphasizing housing affordability, transit expansion, food security, and community safety amid cost-of-living pressures. Challenger Conny Glenn, a sitting councillor who entered earlier, trails at 13% as the most visible alternative, while later-filing candidates including Vanessa Mensah, Stephen Cuthbertson, and Grant William Bedard remain below 4% following the August 21 nomination deadline. Traders appear to price in Paterson’s established record and platform focus over a fragmented field ahead of the October 26 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBryan Paterson 84%
Conny Glenn 12%
Vanessa Mensah 3.1%
Stephen Cuthbertson 2.6%
NEW
NEW
Oct 25, 2026
Bryan Paterson
84%
Conny Glenn
12%
Vanessa Mensah
3%
Stephen Cuthbertson
3%
Grant William Bedard
3%
Bryan Paterson 84%
Conny Glenn 12%
Vanessa Mensah 3.1%
Stephen Cuthbertson 2.6%
NEW
NEW
Oct 25, 2026
Bryan Paterson
$1,301 Vol.
84%
Conny Glenn
$475 Vol.
12%
Vanessa Mensah
$232 Vol.
3%
Stephen Cuthbertson
$221 Vol.
3%
Grant William Bedard
$217 Vol.
3%
The 2026 Kingston, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kingston, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Kingston, Ontario.Incumbent Bryan Paterson holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Kingston, Ontario mayoral race due to his 12-year tenure since 2014, decisive prior victories, and June 2026 re-election announcement emphasizing housing affordability, transit expansion, food security, and community safety amid cost-of-living pressures. Challenger Conny Glenn, a sitting councillor who entered earlier, trails at 13% as the most visible alternative, while later-filing candidates including Vanessa Mensah, Stephen Cuthbertson, and Grant William Bedard remain below 4% following the August 21 nomination deadline. Traders appear to price in Paterson’s established record and platform focus over a fragmented field ahead of the October 26 vote.
The 2026 Kingston, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kingston, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Kingston, Ontario.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kingston, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Kingston, Ontario.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 2:31 PM ET
Volume
$2,446End Date
Oct 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 2:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Kingston, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kingston, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Kingston, Ontario.Incumbent Bryan Paterson holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Kingston, Ontario mayoral race due to his 12-year tenure since 2014, decisive prior victories, and June 2026 re-election announcement emphasizing housing affordability, transit expansion, food security, and community safety amid cost-of-living pressures. Challenger Conny Glenn, a sitting councillor who entered earlier, trails at 13% as the most visible alternative, while later-filing candidates including Vanessa Mensah, Stephen Cuthbertson, and Grant William Bedard remain below 4% following the August 21 nomination deadline. Traders appear to price in Paterson’s established record and platform focus over a fragmented field ahead of the October 26 vote.
The 2026 Kingston, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kingston, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Kingston, Ontario.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kingston, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Kingston, Ontario.
Volume
$2,446End Date
Oct 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 2:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Bryan Paterson holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Kingston, Ontario mayoral race due to his 12-year tenure since 2014, decisive prior victories, and June 2026 re-election announcement emphasizing housing affordability, transit expansion, food security, and community safety amid cost-of-living pressures. Challenger Conny Glenn, a sitting councillor who entered earlier, trails at 13% as the most visible alternative, while later-filing candidates including Vanessa Mensah, Stephen Cuthbertson, and Grant William Bedard remain below 4% following the August 21 nomination deadline. Traders appear to price in Paterson’s established record and platform focus over a fragmented field ahead of the October 26 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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