Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann’s decisive primary victory and the district’s R+16 partisan voting index anchor trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee. Kansas’s 1st congressional district, encompassing vast rural and agricultural territory, has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, with limited Democratic fundraising or name recognition evident in the August primary results. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. A late scandal, serious health event affecting the nominee, or unanticipated national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural advantages make such shifts improbable before November 3, 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKS-01 House Election Winner
KS-01 House Election Winner
$17,348 Vol.
$17,348 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$17,348 Vol.
$17,348 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$6,050 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$11,298 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann’s decisive primary victory and the district’s R+16 partisan voting index anchor trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee. Kansas’s 1st congressional district, encompassing vast rural and agricultural territory, has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, with limited Democratic fundraising or name recognition evident in the August primary results. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. A late scandal, serious health event affecting the nominee, or unanticipated national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural advantages make such shifts improbable before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$17,348End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann’s decisive primary victory and the district’s R+16 partisan voting index anchor trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee. Kansas’s 1st congressional district, encompassing vast rural and agricultural territory, has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, with limited Democratic fundraising or name recognition evident in the August primary results. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. A late scandal, serious health event affecting the nominee, or unanticipated national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural advantages make such shifts improbable before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,348End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann’s decisive primary victory and the district’s R+16 partisan voting index anchor trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee. Kansas’s 1st congressional district, encompassing vast rural and agricultural territory, has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, with limited Democratic fundraising or name recognition evident in the August primary results. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. A late scandal, serious health event affecting the nominee, or unanticipated national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural advantages make such shifts improbable before November 3, 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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