**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional Italian sources, indicate a minimum temperature in Milan on August 31 near 21–22°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds.** This setup promotes moderate overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 31–32°C, consistent with late-August climatology but warmer than the long-term average low of about 18°C. The closely matched market probabilities around 20°C and lower bins reflect lingering uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any subtle model spread on cloud cover or wind, which can alter the overnight low by 1–2°C. New forecast updates from agencies like ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely tighten consensus ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Milan on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 31?
16°C or below 69%
17°C 49%
21°C 49%
22°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
16°C or below
69%
17°C
49%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
35%
21°C
49%
22°C
37%
23°C
2%
24°C
16%
25°C
8%
26°C or higher
10%
16°C or below 69%
17°C 49%
21°C 49%
22°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
69%
17°C
$0 Vol.
49%
18°C
$0 Vol.
26%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
35%
21°C
$0 Vol.
49%
22°C
$0 Vol.
37%
23°C
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
16%
25°C
$0 Vol.
8%
26°C or higher
$0 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional Italian sources, indicate a minimum temperature in Milan on August 31 near 21–22°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds.** This setup promotes moderate overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 31–32°C, consistent with late-August climatology but warmer than the long-term average low of about 18°C. The closely matched market probabilities around 20°C and lower bins reflect lingering uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any subtle model spread on cloud cover or wind, which can alter the overnight low by 1–2°C. New forecast updates from agencies like ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely tighten consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional Italian sources, indicate a minimum temperature in Milan on August 31 near 21–22°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds.** This setup promotes moderate overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 31–32°C, consistent with late-August climatology but warmer than the long-term average low of about 18°C. The closely matched market probabilities around 20°C and lower bins reflect lingering uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any subtle model spread on cloud cover or wind, which can alter the overnight low by 1–2°C. New forecast updates from agencies like ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely tighten consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional Italian sources, indicate a minimum temperature in Milan on August 31 near 21–22°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds.** This setup promotes moderate overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 31–32°C, consistent with late-August climatology but warmer than the long-term average low of about 18°C. The closely matched market probabilities around 20°C and lower bins reflect lingering uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any subtle model spread on cloud cover or wind, which can alter the overnight low by 1–2°C. New forecast updates from agencies like ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely tighten consensus ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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