The Maynas provincial mayoral race ahead of Peru’s October 4, 2026 municipal elections remains fragmented among more than two dozen registered candidates, with no dominant frontrunner emerging in available polling. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, pricing several contenders—including Joel Parimango Álvarez, Sergio Donayre Ramírez, and Roger Gronerth Pinedo—in the low-to-mid 20s to low 30s while assigning single-digit or lower implied probabilities to most others. Vote splitting across parties such as APP, Fuerza Popular, Somos Perú, and independents, combined with limited recent public surveys specific to the province, sustains the tight positioning. Upcoming JNE ballot finalization, candidate alliances, and any late regional endorsements or debates could shift shares before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMaynas Mayoral Election Winner
Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo 38%
Joel Ronal Parimango Álvarez 35%
Enrique Augusto Rodríguez Morales 21%
Ernesto Concha La Torre 19.4%

Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo
26%

Joel Ronal Parimango Álvarez
35%

Enrique Augusto Rodríguez Morales
21%

Ernesto Concha La Torre
19%

Jean Pier López Sifuentes
19%

Nery Mozombite Cerrón
18%

Cynthia Stefani Gómez Gómez
18%

Euler Carlos Hernández Arévalo
18%

Rubén Antonio Hernández Del Águila
16%

Deiby Marín Ortega
15%

Jenson Harold Rolando Mariñas Cárdenas
8%

Juan Aguilar Gómez
7%

Antony Jhonatan Pinedo Lozano
6%

Sivily Maritza Paz Pérez
6%

Cleiver Inuma Chávez
6%

Boris Guido Morey Sifuentes
5%

Tony Jonatan Mori Vargas
21%

Richard Arturo Vásquez Salazar
3%

Sergio Antonio Donayre Ramírez
28%
Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo 38%
Joel Ronal Parimango Álvarez 35%
Enrique Augusto Rodríguez Morales 21%
Ernesto Concha La Torre 19.4%

Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo
26%

Joel Ronal Parimango Álvarez
35%

Enrique Augusto Rodríguez Morales
21%

Ernesto Concha La Torre
19%

Jean Pier López Sifuentes
19%

Nery Mozombite Cerrón
18%

Cynthia Stefani Gómez Gómez
18%

Euler Carlos Hernández Arévalo
18%

Rubén Antonio Hernández Del Águila
16%

Deiby Marín Ortega
15%

Jenson Harold Rolando Mariñas Cárdenas
8%

Juan Aguilar Gómez
7%

Antony Jhonatan Pinedo Lozano
6%

Sivily Maritza Paz Pérez
6%

Cleiver Inuma Chávez
6%

Boris Guido Morey Sifuentes
5%

Tony Jonatan Mori Vargas
21%

Richard Arturo Vásquez Salazar
3%

Sergio Antonio Donayre Ramírez
28%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Maynas as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Maynas as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Maynas provincial mayoral race ahead of Peru’s October 4, 2026 municipal elections remains fragmented among more than two dozen registered candidates, with no dominant frontrunner emerging in available polling. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, pricing several contenders—including Joel Parimango Álvarez, Sergio Donayre Ramírez, and Roger Gronerth Pinedo—in the low-to-mid 20s to low 30s while assigning single-digit or lower implied probabilities to most others. Vote splitting across parties such as APP, Fuerza Popular, Somos Perú, and independents, combined with limited recent public surveys specific to the province, sustains the tight positioning. Upcoming JNE ballot finalization, candidate alliances, and any late regional endorsements or debates could shift shares before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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