Maryland's 8th Congressional District remains a heavily Democratic seat with a Partisan Voting Index of D+30, where incumbent Jamie Raskin secured over 92 percent in the June 2026 Democratic primary against minor challengers. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the general election matchup against Republican nominee Cheryl Riley as Safe or Solid Democratic. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 95.4 percent based on the district's consistent voting patterns in Montgomery and Prince George's counties, Raskin's established incumbency advantage, and limited Republican resources or name recognition in the race. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical results and current structural factors make such shifts improbable before the November 3, 2026, general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMD-08 House Election Winner
MD-08 House Election Winner
$27,422 Vol.
$27,422 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
$27,422 Vol.
$27,422 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$18,895 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$8,528 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 8th Congressional District remains a heavily Democratic seat with a Partisan Voting Index of D+30, where incumbent Jamie Raskin secured over 92 percent in the June 2026 Democratic primary against minor challengers. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the general election matchup against Republican nominee Cheryl Riley as Safe or Solid Democratic. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 95.4 percent based on the district's consistent voting patterns in Montgomery and Prince George's counties, Raskin's established incumbency advantage, and limited Republican resources or name recognition in the race. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical results and current structural factors make such shifts improbable before the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$27,422End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 8th Congressional District remains a heavily Democratic seat with a Partisan Voting Index of D+30, where incumbent Jamie Raskin secured over 92 percent in the June 2026 Democratic primary against minor challengers. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the general election matchup against Republican nominee Cheryl Riley as Safe or Solid Democratic. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 95.4 percent based on the district's consistent voting patterns in Montgomery and Prince George's counties, Raskin's established incumbency advantage, and limited Republican resources or name recognition in the race. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical results and current structural factors make such shifts improbable before the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,422End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 8th Congressional District remains a heavily Democratic seat with a Partisan Voting Index of D+30, where incumbent Jamie Raskin secured over 92 percent in the June 2026 Democratic primary against minor challengers. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the general election matchup against Republican nominee Cheryl Riley as Safe or Solid Democratic. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 95.4 percent based on the district's consistent voting patterns in Montgomery and Prince George's counties, Raskin's established incumbency advantage, and limited Republican resources or name recognition in the race. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical results and current structural factors make such shifts improbable before the November 3, 2026, general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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