Jocelyn Benson secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary and maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Michigan governor race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democrat at 91 percent. Recent polling aggregates show her leading Republican nominee John James by roughly 7 points, with Benson at 49 percent and James at 42 percent among likely voters. This edge stems from her high name recognition as secretary of state, strong fundraising, and the party's recent success in holding the open seat left by term-limited incumbent Gretchen Whitmer. Michigan has not elected a Republican to statewide office in more than a decade. Potential shifts could arise from changes in voter turnout patterns, late-campaign developments, or broader national political trends before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDemocrat 91%
Republican 9%
Independent <1%
$202,000 Vol.
$202,000 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
91%
Republican
9%
Independent
<1%
Democrat 91%
Republican 9%
Independent <1%
$202,000 Vol.
$202,000 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
$48,360 Vol.
91%
Republican
$152,888 Vol.
9%
Independent
$753 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Jocelyn Benson secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary and maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Michigan governor race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democrat at 91 percent. Recent polling aggregates show her leading Republican nominee John James by roughly 7 points, with Benson at 49 percent and James at 42 percent among likely voters. This edge stems from her high name recognition as secretary of state, strong fundraising, and the party's recent success in holding the open seat left by term-limited incumbent Gretchen Whitmer. Michigan has not elected a Republican to statewide office in more than a decade. Potential shifts could arise from changes in voter turnout patterns, late-campaign developments, or broader national political trends before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$202,000End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Jocelyn Benson secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary and maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Michigan governor race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democrat at 91 percent. Recent polling aggregates show her leading Republican nominee John James by roughly 7 points, with Benson at 49 percent and James at 42 percent among likely voters. This edge stems from her high name recognition as secretary of state, strong fundraising, and the party's recent success in holding the open seat left by term-limited incumbent Gretchen Whitmer. Michigan has not elected a Republican to statewide office in more than a decade. Potential shifts could arise from changes in voter turnout patterns, late-campaign developments, or broader national political trends before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$202,000End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jocelyn Benson secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary and maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Michigan governor race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democrat at 91 percent. Recent polling aggregates show her leading Republican nominee John James by roughly 7 points, with Benson at 49 percent and James at 42 percent among likely voters. This edge stems from her high name recognition as secretary of state, strong fundraising, and the party's recent success in holding the open seat left by term-limited incumbent Gretchen Whitmer. Michigan has not elected a Republican to statewide office in more than a decade. Potential shifts could arise from changes in voter turnout patterns, late-campaign developments, or broader national political trends before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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