Incumbent Democratic Senator Cory Booker seeks a third full term in New Jersey’s solidly Democratic-leaning state, where the party has held both Senate seats for decades and last lost a general election contest in 1972. Booker advanced unopposed in the June 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican Justin Murphy, a former Tabernacle deputy mayor, secured his party’s nomination in a fragmented four-candidate field. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections all classify the race as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the state’s consistent partisan tilt and Booker’s long record of electoral success. The current trader consensus of roughly 97 percent for the Democrat aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments that could narrow the gap would require a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Republican environment capable of overcoming New Jersey’s structural Democratic advantage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$20,377 Vol.
$20,377 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
97%
Republican
3%
$20,377 Vol.
$20,377 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
$10,770 Vol.
97%
Republican
$9,607 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Cory Booker seeks a third full term in New Jersey’s solidly Democratic-leaning state, where the party has held both Senate seats for decades and last lost a general election contest in 1972. Booker advanced unopposed in the June 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican Justin Murphy, a former Tabernacle deputy mayor, secured his party’s nomination in a fragmented four-candidate field. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections all classify the race as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the state’s consistent partisan tilt and Booker’s long record of electoral success. The current trader consensus of roughly 97 percent for the Democrat aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments that could narrow the gap would require a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Republican environment capable of overcoming New Jersey’s structural Democratic advantage.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$20,377End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Cory Booker seeks a third full term in New Jersey’s solidly Democratic-leaning state, where the party has held both Senate seats for decades and last lost a general election contest in 1972. Booker advanced unopposed in the June 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican Justin Murphy, a former Tabernacle deputy mayor, secured his party’s nomination in a fragmented four-candidate field. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections all classify the race as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the state’s consistent partisan tilt and Booker’s long record of electoral success. The current trader consensus of roughly 97 percent for the Democrat aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments that could narrow the gap would require a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Republican environment capable of overcoming New Jersey’s structural Democratic advantage.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$20,377End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Senator Cory Booker seeks a third full term in New Jersey’s solidly Democratic-leaning state, where the party has held both Senate seats for decades and last lost a general election contest in 1972. Booker advanced unopposed in the June 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican Justin Murphy, a former Tabernacle deputy mayor, secured his party’s nomination in a fragmented four-candidate field. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections all classify the race as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the state’s consistent partisan tilt and Booker’s long record of electoral success. The current trader consensus of roughly 97 percent for the Democrat aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments that could narrow the gap would require a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Republican environment capable of overcoming New Jersey’s structural Democratic advantage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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