Roy Cooper maintains a commanding position in the 2026 North Carolina Senate race for the open seat vacated by retiring Republican Thom Tillis, as reflected in consistent polling leads of 5–9 points and trader pricing. His advantages stem from strong name recognition and favorable ratings built during two terms as governor, superior fundraising with over $20 million in cash on hand compared to Michael Whatley’s roughly $3.5 million, and an enthusiasm edge among Democratic-leaning voters. Whatley, the former RNC chair who won his primary with Trump’s endorsement, remains less known statewide. Analysts rate the contest Lean or Likely Democratic, though the outcome could shift with changes in national political conditions, turnout variations, or late-campaign developments before the November 3 election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$99,792 Vol.
$99,792 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Roy Cooper (D)
92%
Michael Whatley (R)
9%
$99,792 Vol.
$99,792 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Roy Cooper (D)
$40,376 Vol.
92%
Michael Whatley (R)
$59,416 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Roy Cooper maintains a commanding position in the 2026 North Carolina Senate race for the open seat vacated by retiring Republican Thom Tillis, as reflected in consistent polling leads of 5–9 points and trader pricing. His advantages stem from strong name recognition and favorable ratings built during two terms as governor, superior fundraising with over $20 million in cash on hand compared to Michael Whatley’s roughly $3.5 million, and an enthusiasm edge among Democratic-leaning voters. Whatley, the former RNC chair who won his primary with Trump’s endorsement, remains less known statewide. Analysts rate the contest Lean or Likely Democratic, though the outcome could shift with changes in national political conditions, turnout variations, or late-campaign developments before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$99,792End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Roy Cooper maintains a commanding position in the 2026 North Carolina Senate race for the open seat vacated by retiring Republican Thom Tillis, as reflected in consistent polling leads of 5–9 points and trader pricing. His advantages stem from strong name recognition and favorable ratings built during two terms as governor, superior fundraising with over $20 million in cash on hand compared to Michael Whatley’s roughly $3.5 million, and an enthusiasm edge among Democratic-leaning voters. Whatley, the former RNC chair who won his primary with Trump’s endorsement, remains less known statewide. Analysts rate the contest Lean or Likely Democratic, though the outcome could shift with changes in national political conditions, turnout variations, or late-campaign developments before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$99,792End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Roy Cooper maintains a commanding position in the 2026 North Carolina Senate race for the open seat vacated by retiring Republican Thom Tillis, as reflected in consistent polling leads of 5–9 points and trader pricing. His advantages stem from strong name recognition and favorable ratings built during two terms as governor, superior fundraising with over $20 million in cash on hand compared to Michael Whatley’s roughly $3.5 million, and an enthusiasm edge among Democratic-leaning voters. Whatley, the former RNC chair who won his primary with Trump’s endorsement, remains less known statewide. Analysts rate the contest Lean or Likely Democratic, though the outcome could shift with changes in national political conditions, turnout variations, or late-campaign developments before the November 3 election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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