Anthropic's July 24, 2026 launch of Claude Opus 5—positioned as a major step up in coding, agentic workflows, and professional tasks while matching much of the intelligence of its pricier Fable 5 counterpart at half the cost—sets the baseline for the next Opus release. The company has shown an accelerated cadence of iterative Opus upgrades throughout 2026 (including 4.8 in May and 4.7 in April), alongside the introduction of a new higher-tier Mythos class and features like dynamic workflows and enhanced honesty safeguards. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google model drops, plus ongoing safety evaluations for frontier capabilities, will likely shape timing, with no public roadmap details yet confirming the next major Opus iteration. Traders are watching Anthropic's release patterns and any hints at a new intelligence tier.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$42,228 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
August 31
11%
September 30
87%
October 31
94%
December 31
98%
$42,228 Vol.
August 31
$28,361 Vol.
11%
September 30
$2,556 Vol.
87%
October 31
$6,609 Vol.
94%
December 31
$4,702 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's July 24, 2026 launch of Claude Opus 5—positioned as a major step up in coding, agentic workflows, and professional tasks while matching much of the intelligence of its pricier Fable 5 counterpart at half the cost—sets the baseline for the next Opus release. The company has shown an accelerated cadence of iterative Opus upgrades throughout 2026 (including 4.8 in May and 4.7 in April), alongside the introduction of a new higher-tier Mythos class and features like dynamic workflows and enhanced honesty safeguards. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google model drops, plus ongoing safety evaluations for frontier capabilities, will likely shape timing, with no public roadmap details yet confirming the next major Opus iteration. Traders are watching Anthropic's release patterns and any hints at a new intelligence tier.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
Volume
$42,228End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 6:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's July 24, 2026 launch of Claude Opus 5—positioned as a major step up in coding, agentic workflows, and professional tasks while matching much of the intelligence of its pricier Fable 5 counterpart at half the cost—sets the baseline for the next Opus release. The company has shown an accelerated cadence of iterative Opus upgrades throughout 2026 (including 4.8 in May and 4.7 in April), alongside the introduction of a new higher-tier Mythos class and features like dynamic workflows and enhanced honesty safeguards. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google model drops, plus ongoing safety evaluations for frontier capabilities, will likely shape timing, with no public roadmap details yet confirming the next major Opus iteration. Traders are watching Anthropic's release patterns and any hints at a new intelligence tier.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$42,228End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 6:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's July 24, 2026 launch of Claude Opus 5—positioned as a major step up in coding, agentic workflows, and professional tasks while matching much of the intelligence of its pricier Fable 5 counterpart at half the cost—sets the baseline for the next Opus release. The company has shown an accelerated cadence of iterative Opus upgrades throughout 2026 (including 4.8 in May and 4.7 in April), alongside the introduction of a new higher-tier Mythos class and features like dynamic workflows and enhanced honesty safeguards. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google model drops, plus ongoing safety evaluations for frontier capabilities, will likely shape timing, with no public roadmap details yet confirming the next major Opus iteration. Traders are watching Anthropic's release patterns and any hints at a new intelligence tier.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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