**Nike's upcoming Q1 FY2027 earnings release, expected around October 1, carries a 73.5% market-implied probability of beating consensus estimates of roughly $0.45 EPS and $11.37–11.47 billion in revenue.** This pricing reflects traders' assessment of Nike's recent pattern of surpassing lowered forecasts, including the prior quarter's adjusted EPS beat of $0.20 versus $0.12 and revenue of $10.97 billion versus $10.86 billion, driven by North American wholesale growth and running-category momentum. Persistent headwinds in Greater China and Converse, combined with cautious prior guidance and a depressed valuation near multi-year lows, have tempered expectations, creating room for outperformance if inventory discipline and margin trends hold. Key swing factors include any updates on China demand recovery, full-year outlook, and gross-margin trajectory amid ongoing turnaround efforts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated74% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 28, 2026
74% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 28, 2026
As of market creation, Nike is estimated to release earnings on September 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Nike's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.45 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nike reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.45 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Nike releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
**Nike's upcoming Q1 FY2027 earnings release, expected around October 1, carries a 73.5% market-implied probability of beating consensus estimates of roughly $0.45 EPS and $11.37–11.47 billion in revenue.**
This pricing reflects traders' assessment of Nike's recent pattern of surpassing lowered forecasts, including the prior quarter's adjusted EPS beat of $0.20 versus $0.12 and revenue of $10.97 billion versus $10.86 billion, driven by North American wholesale growth and running-category momentum. Persistent headwinds in Greater China and Converse, combined with cautious prior guidance and a depressed valuation near multi-year lows, have tempered expectations, creating room for outperformance if inventory discipline and margin trends hold. Key swing factors include any updates on China demand recovery, full-year outlook, and gross-margin trajectory amid ongoing turnaround efforts.
As of market creation, Nike is estimated to release earnings on September 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Nike's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.45 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nike reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.45 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Nike releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Nike releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Market Opened: Sep 16, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
Volume
$908End Date
Sep 28, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 3:58 PM ETResolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/NKE/earningsResolver
0x65070BE91...As of market creation, Nike is estimated to release earnings on September 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Nike's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.45 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nike reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.45 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Nike releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
**Nike's upcoming Q1 FY2027 earnings release, expected around October 1, carries a 73.5% market-implied probability of beating consensus estimates of roughly $0.45 EPS and $11.37–11.47 billion in revenue.**
This pricing reflects traders' assessment of Nike's recent pattern of surpassing lowered forecasts, including the prior quarter's adjusted EPS beat of $0.20 versus $0.12 and revenue of $10.97 billion versus $10.86 billion, driven by North American wholesale growth and running-category momentum. Persistent headwinds in Greater China and Converse, combined with cautious prior guidance and a depressed valuation near multi-year lows, have tempered expectations, creating room for outperformance if inventory discipline and margin trends hold. Key swing factors include any updates on China demand recovery, full-year outlook, and gross-margin trajectory amid ongoing turnaround efforts.
As of market creation, Nike is estimated to release earnings on September 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Nike's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.45 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nike reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.45 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Nike releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Nike releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Volume
$908End Date
Sep 28, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 3:58 PM ETResolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/NKE/earningsResolver
0x65070BE91...**Nike's upcoming Q1 FY2027 earnings release, expected around October 1, carries a 73.5% market-implied probability of beating consensus estimates of roughly $0.45 EPS and $11.37–11.47 billion in revenue.** This pricing reflects traders' assessment of Nike's recent pattern of surpassing lowered forecasts, including the prior quarter's adjusted EPS beat of $0.20 versus $0.12 and revenue of $10.97 billion versus $10.86 billion, driven by North American wholesale growth and running-category momentum. Persistent headwinds in Greater China and Converse, combined with cautious prior guidance and a depressed valuation near multi-year lows, have tempered expectations, creating room for outperformance if inventory discipline and margin trends hold. Key swing factors include any updates on China demand recovery, full-year outlook, and gross-margin trajectory amid ongoing turnaround efforts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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