New York’s 7th Congressional District, covering parts of Brooklyn and Queens, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+25 and has delivered Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles. Longtime Representative Nydia Velázquez’s retirement opened the seat, but Democratic Assemblywoman Claire Valdez secured the nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with 56 percent of the vote against Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso and other challengers. Nonpartisan ratings classify the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, with Republican nominee Melvin Rivera facing structural headwinds in a district where registered Democrats vastly outnumber Republicans. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent Democratic reflects these entrenched partisan demographics and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data suggesting an upset. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen national political realignment or a major development involving the Democratic nominee between now and November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-07 House Election Winner
NY-07 House Election Winner
$30,135 Vol.
$30,135 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
1%
$30,135 Vol.
$30,135 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,452 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$14,683 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 7th Congressional District, covering parts of Brooklyn and Queens, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+25 and has delivered Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles. Longtime Representative Nydia Velázquez’s retirement opened the seat, but Democratic Assemblywoman Claire Valdez secured the nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with 56 percent of the vote against Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso and other challengers. Nonpartisan ratings classify the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, with Republican nominee Melvin Rivera facing structural headwinds in a district where registered Democrats vastly outnumber Republicans. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent Democratic reflects these entrenched partisan demographics and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data suggesting an upset. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen national political realignment or a major development involving the Democratic nominee between now and November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$30,135End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 7th Congressional District, covering parts of Brooklyn and Queens, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+25 and has delivered Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles. Longtime Representative Nydia Velázquez’s retirement opened the seat, but Democratic Assemblywoman Claire Valdez secured the nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with 56 percent of the vote against Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso and other challengers. Nonpartisan ratings classify the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, with Republican nominee Melvin Rivera facing structural headwinds in a district where registered Democrats vastly outnumber Republicans. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent Democratic reflects these entrenched partisan demographics and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data suggesting an upset. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen national political realignment or a major development involving the Democratic nominee between now and November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,135End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 7th Congressional District, covering parts of Brooklyn and Queens, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+25 and has delivered Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles. Longtime Representative Nydia Velázquez’s retirement opened the seat, but Democratic Assemblywoman Claire Valdez secured the nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with 56 percent of the vote against Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso and other challengers. Nonpartisan ratings classify the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, with Republican nominee Melvin Rivera facing structural headwinds in a district where registered Democrats vastly outnumber Republicans. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent Democratic reflects these entrenched partisan demographics and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data suggesting an upset. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen national political realignment or a major development involving the Democratic nominee between now and November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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