Hakeem Jeffries, the incumbent Democratic House Minority Leader representing New York’s 8th district since 2013, faces Republican challenger Lewis Mizrahi in the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s D+24 partisan voter index and Jeffries’ 75% victory margin in 2024 underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring Democrats. Both candidates advanced unopposed after the June 23 primaries were canceled, with no significant polling or campaign developments altering the landscape. Jeffries’ substantial fundraising advantage and the seat’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles further anchor expectations. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal or health-related withdrawal remain the primary realistic paths that could narrow the gap before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-08 House Election Winner
NY-08 House Election Winner
$32,596 Vol.
$32,596 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
2%
$32,596 Vol.
$32,596 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,113 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$18,483 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries, the incumbent Democratic House Minority Leader representing New York’s 8th district since 2013, faces Republican challenger Lewis Mizrahi in the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s D+24 partisan voter index and Jeffries’ 75% victory margin in 2024 underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring Democrats. Both candidates advanced unopposed after the June 23 primaries were canceled, with no significant polling or campaign developments altering the landscape. Jeffries’ substantial fundraising advantage and the seat’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles further anchor expectations. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal or health-related withdrawal remain the primary realistic paths that could narrow the gap before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$32,596End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries, the incumbent Democratic House Minority Leader representing New York’s 8th district since 2013, faces Republican challenger Lewis Mizrahi in the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s D+24 partisan voter index and Jeffries’ 75% victory margin in 2024 underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring Democrats. Both candidates advanced unopposed after the June 23 primaries were canceled, with no significant polling or campaign developments altering the landscape. Jeffries’ substantial fundraising advantage and the seat’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles further anchor expectations. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal or health-related withdrawal remain the primary realistic paths that could narrow the gap before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,596End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Hakeem Jeffries, the incumbent Democratic House Minority Leader representing New York’s 8th district since 2013, faces Republican challenger Lewis Mizrahi in the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s D+24 partisan voter index and Jeffries’ 75% victory margin in 2024 underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring Democrats. Both candidates advanced unopposed after the June 23 primaries were canceled, with no significant polling or campaign developments altering the landscape. Jeffries’ substantial fundraising advantage and the seat’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles further anchor expectations. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal or health-related withdrawal remain the primary realistic paths that could narrow the gap before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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