Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York’s 16th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s strong Democratic lean and his unopposed primary win. The district, centered in southern Westchester County with portions of the Bronx, carries a D+18 Partisan Voter Index and delivered Latimer 71.5% of the vote in 2024. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections consistently rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican nominee Joseph Cinquemani faces structural headwinds with limited name recognition and fundraising in a district where Democratic registration and past turnout patterns heavily favor the incumbent. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain limited to an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political realignment, though historical base rates for such shifts in comparably safe seats are low.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-16 House Election Winner
NY-16 House Election Winner
$41,135 Vol.
$41,135 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
2%
$41,135 Vol.
$41,135 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$30,678 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$10,457 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York’s 16th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s strong Democratic lean and his unopposed primary win. The district, centered in southern Westchester County with portions of the Bronx, carries a D+18 Partisan Voter Index and delivered Latimer 71.5% of the vote in 2024. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections consistently rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican nominee Joseph Cinquemani faces structural headwinds with limited name recognition and fundraising in a district where Democratic registration and past turnout patterns heavily favor the incumbent. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain limited to an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political realignment, though historical base rates for such shifts in comparably safe seats are low.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$41,135End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York’s 16th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s strong Democratic lean and his unopposed primary win. The district, centered in southern Westchester County with portions of the Bronx, carries a D+18 Partisan Voter Index and delivered Latimer 71.5% of the vote in 2024. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections consistently rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican nominee Joseph Cinquemani faces structural headwinds with limited name recognition and fundraising in a district where Democratic registration and past turnout patterns heavily favor the incumbent. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain limited to an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political realignment, though historical base rates for such shifts in comparably safe seats are low.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$41,135End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York’s 16th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s strong Democratic lean and his unopposed primary win. The district, centered in southern Westchester County with portions of the Bronx, carries a D+18 Partisan Voter Index and delivered Latimer 71.5% of the vote in 2024. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections consistently rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican nominee Joseph Cinquemani faces structural headwinds with limited name recognition and fundraising in a district where Democratic registration and past turnout patterns heavily favor the incumbent. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain limited to an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political realignment, though historical base rates for such shifts in comparably safe seats are low.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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