This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Mike Mazzei secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma governor through a narrow victory in the August 25 runoff, defeating Attorney General Gentner Drummond by roughly 2,000 votes out of more than 371,000 cast. Trader consensus reflects the official results from the closely contested race that followed a crowded June primary, where Trump’s endorsement, Mazzei’s substantial self-funding exceeding $11 million, and heavy outside spending by aligned groups provided decisive momentum in the final weeks. In a deeply Republican state with term-limited incumbent Kevin Stitt, these elements aligned to overcome Drummond’s early edge and fundraising in the runoff period. Rare challenges could include certification delays or recounts in specific counties, though the margin and statewide reporting make reversal highly improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Mike Mazzei secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma governor through a narrow victory in the August 25 runoff, defeating Attorney General Gentner Drummond by roughly 2,000 votes out of more than 371,000 cast. Trader consensus reflects the official results from the closely contested race that followed a crowded June primary, where Trump’s endorsement, Mazzei’s substantial self-funding exceeding $11 million, and heavy outside spending by aligned groups provided decisive momentum in the final weeks. In a deeply Republican state with term-limited incumbent Kevin Stitt, these elements aligned to overcome Drummond’s early edge and fundraising in the runoff period. Rare challenges could include certification delays or recounts in specific counties, though the margin and statewide reporting make reversal highly improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Aug 25 2026
Mike Mazzei wins Oklahoma GOP runoff for governor, endorsed by Trump
Mike Mazzei narrowly defeated Attorney General Gentner Drummond in the Republican runoff, boosted by President Trump's endorsement, securing the GOP nomination for governor.
Aug 25 2026
Mike Mazzei wins Oklahoma Republican primary runoff for governor
Mike Mazzei surges to 98%18%
Mike Mazzei won the Republican primary runoff for Oklahoma governor on August 25, 2026, after a closely contested race against Gentner Drummond, securing the GOP nomination to face the Democratic candidate in the general election.
Aug 25 2026
Mike Mazzei wins Republican primary runoff for Oklahoma governor
Mike Mazzei surges to 100%21%
Mike Mazzei narrowly defeated Gentner Drummond in the Republican primary runoff, securing the GOP nomination for governor. The victory was influenced by Trump's endorsement and significant campaign spending, positioning Mazzei as the favorite for the general election.
Aug 22 2026
Oklahoma Republican Party State Committee endorses Mike Mazzei for governor runoff
Mike Mazzei surges to 100%21%
The Oklahoma Republican Party State Committee formally endorsed Mike Mazzei as the only certified candidate remaining in the Republican runoff, consolidating party support behind him ahead of the August 25 runoff election.
Aug 3 2026
Mike Mazzei and Gentner Drummond debate ahead of GOP runoff election
Mazzei and Drummond participated in a televised debate discussing key issues such as the proposed aluminum smelter in Inola, tax policy, and education reform, influencing voter perceptions ahead of the August 25 runoff.
Jun 16 2026
Oklahoma Republican primary election results show Drummond and Mazzei advance to runoff
In the June 16 primary, Gentner Drummond narrowly led Mike Mazzei, with both receiving about 26% of the vote and advancing to the August 25 runoff. Other candidates, including Chip Keating and Charles McCall, were eliminated, consolidating the race to these two frontrunners.
Jun 16 2026
Oklahoma Republican primary results: Drummond and Mazzei advance to runoff
In the June 16 primary, no candidate received a majority, leading to a runoff between Attorney General Gentner Drummond and former State Senator Mike Mazzei. Other candidates, including Chip Keating, Charles McCall, and Jake Merrick, were eliminated or conceded.
Jun 16 2026
Oklahoma Republican primary results: Gentner Drummond and Mike Mazzei advance to runoff
The June 16 primary election resulted in no candidate receiving a majority, leading to a runoff between Gentner Drummond and Mike Mazzei, who finished first and second respectively. This set the stage for a competitive runoff election in August.
Jun 1 2026
President Trump endorses Mike Mazzei for Oklahoma governor
Mike Mazzei surges to 79%55%
President Donald Trump publicly endorsed Mike Mazzei ahead of the June 16 primary, praising his conservative agenda and boosting Mazzei's visibility and support among Republican voters. This endorsement was a key factor in Mazzei's rise in the polls and market prices.
May 29 2026
President Donald Trump endorses Mike Mazzei for Oklahoma governor
Mike Mazzei surges to 82%65%
President Trump publicly endorsed Mike Mazzei for governor, highlighting Mazzei's experience and conservative policies. This endorsement significantly boosted Mazzei's campaign, reflected in a sharp increase in his market support and polling numbers.
Mar 9 2026
Matt Pinnell announces he will not run for governor in 2026
Matt Pinnell plunges to 5%45%
Oklahoma Lieutenant Governor Matt Pinnell publicly announced he would not run for governor or any other office in 2026, ending speculation about his candidacy and signaling a political exit after his term ends.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Mike Mazzei secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma governor through a narrow victory in the August 25 runoff, defeating Attorney General Gentner Drummond by roughly 2,000 votes out of more than 371,000 cast. Trader consensus reflects the official results from the closely contested race that followed a crowded June primary, where Trump’s endorsement, Mazzei’s substantial self-funding exceeding $11 million, and heavy outside spending by aligned groups provided decisive momentum in the final weeks. In a deeply Republican state with term-limited incumbent Kevin Stitt, these elements aligned to overcome Drummond’s early edge and fundraising in the runoff period. Rare challenges could include certification delays or recounts in specific counties, though the margin and statewide reporting make reversal highly improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Mike Mazzei secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma governor through a narrow victory in the August 25 runoff, defeating Attorney General Gentner Drummond by roughly 2,000 votes out of more than 371,000 cast. Trader consensus reflects the official results from the closely contested race that followed a crowded June primary, where Trump’s endorsement, Mazzei’s substantial self-funding exceeding $11 million, and heavy outside spending by aligned groups provided decisive momentum in the final weeks. In a deeply Republican state with term-limited incumbent Kevin Stitt, these elements aligned to overcome Drummond’s early edge and fundraising in the runoff period. Rare challenges could include certification delays or recounts in specific counties, though the margin and statewide reporting make reversal highly improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Aug 25 2026
Mike Mazzei wins Oklahoma GOP runoff for governor, endorsed by Trump
Mike Mazzei narrowly defeated Attorney General Gentner Drummond in the Republican runoff, boosted by President Trump's endorsement, securing the GOP nomination for governor.
Aug 25 2026
Mike Mazzei wins Oklahoma Republican primary runoff for governor
Mike Mazzei surges to 98%18%
Mike Mazzei won the Republican primary runoff for Oklahoma governor on August 25, 2026, after a closely contested race against Gentner Drummond, securing the GOP nomination to face the Democratic candidate in the general election.
Aug 25 2026
Mike Mazzei wins Republican primary runoff for Oklahoma governor
Mike Mazzei surges to 100%21%
Mike Mazzei narrowly defeated Gentner Drummond in the Republican primary runoff, securing the GOP nomination for governor. The victory was influenced by Trump's endorsement and significant campaign spending, positioning Mazzei as the favorite for the general election.
Aug 22 2026
Oklahoma Republican Party State Committee endorses Mike Mazzei for governor runoff
Mike Mazzei surges to 100%21%
The Oklahoma Republican Party State Committee formally endorsed Mike Mazzei as the only certified candidate remaining in the Republican runoff, consolidating party support behind him ahead of the August 25 runoff election.
Aug 3 2026
Mike Mazzei and Gentner Drummond debate ahead of GOP runoff election
Mazzei and Drummond participated in a televised debate discussing key issues such as the proposed aluminum smelter in Inola, tax policy, and education reform, influencing voter perceptions ahead of the August 25 runoff.
Jun 16 2026
Oklahoma Republican primary election results show Drummond and Mazzei advance to runoff
In the June 16 primary, Gentner Drummond narrowly led Mike Mazzei, with both receiving about 26% of the vote and advancing to the August 25 runoff. Other candidates, including Chip Keating and Charles McCall, were eliminated, consolidating the race to these two frontrunners.
Jun 16 2026
Oklahoma Republican primary results: Drummond and Mazzei advance to runoff
In the June 16 primary, no candidate received a majority, leading to a runoff between Attorney General Gentner Drummond and former State Senator Mike Mazzei. Other candidates, including Chip Keating, Charles McCall, and Jake Merrick, were eliminated or conceded.
Jun 16 2026
Oklahoma Republican primary results: Gentner Drummond and Mike Mazzei advance to runoff
The June 16 primary election resulted in no candidate receiving a majority, leading to a runoff between Gentner Drummond and Mike Mazzei, who finished first and second respectively. This set the stage for a competitive runoff election in August.
Jun 1 2026
President Trump endorses Mike Mazzei for Oklahoma governor
Mike Mazzei surges to 79%55%
President Donald Trump publicly endorsed Mike Mazzei ahead of the June 16 primary, praising his conservative agenda and boosting Mazzei's visibility and support among Republican voters. This endorsement was a key factor in Mazzei's rise in the polls and market prices.
May 29 2026
President Donald Trump endorses Mike Mazzei for Oklahoma governor
Mike Mazzei surges to 82%65%
President Trump publicly endorsed Mike Mazzei for governor, highlighting Mazzei's experience and conservative policies. This endorsement significantly boosted Mazzei's campaign, reflected in a sharp increase in his market support and polling numbers.
Mar 9 2026
Matt Pinnell announces he will not run for governor in 2026
Matt Pinnell plunges to 5%45%
Oklahoma Lieutenant Governor Matt Pinnell publicly announced he would not run for governor or any other office in 2026, ending speculation about his candidacy and signaling a political exit after his term ends.
"Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mike Mazzei" at 100%, followed by "Gentner Drummond" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Mike Mazzei" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gentner Drummond" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.
Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $1 million traded on “Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.
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On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "Mike Mazzei" in the "Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "Mike Mazzei" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.
The "Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.
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