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Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

icon for Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

$25,215 Vol.

Jan 20, 2027
Polymarket

$25,215 Vol.

Polymarket

Matt Damon

$1,924 Vol.

91%

Tom Cruise

$3,653 Vol.

68%

Andrew Scott

$4,502 Vol.

68%

Ryan Gosling

$3,386 Vol.

61%

Robert Pattinson

$120 Vol.

61%

John Malkovich

$96 Vol.

63%

Sebastian Stan

$551 Vol.

26%

Timothée Chalamet

$2,465 Vol.

26%

Jaafar Jackson

$453 Vol.

21%

Pedro Pascal

$741 Vol.

20%

John Turturro

$258 Vol.

20%

Adam Driver

$55 Vol.

18%

Javier Bardem

$340 Vol.

12%

Jeremy Strong

$3,272 Vol.

11%

Robert Aramayo

$432 Vol.

7%

Sam Rockwell

$960 Vol.

7%

Josh O'Connor

$225 Vol.

6%

Brad Pitt

$1,781 Vol.

6%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early trader consensus for 2027 Best Actor nominations centers on Matt Damon in Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey and Tom Cruise in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s Digger, reflecting the prestige of these fall releases and long-standing narratives around overdue wins. Damon benefits from the film’s anticipated scale and Nolan’s strong Academy track record, while Cruise’s turn in a dramatic, director-driven project has generated significant industry discussion. Supporting momentum appears for Andrew Scott, John Malkovich in Wild Horse Nine, and Ryan Gosling in Project Hail Mary, though positions remain fluid ahead of the September festival circuit. Key upcoming catalysts include Venice, Telluride, and Toronto premieres, which will shape guild and critics’ awards trajectories before nominations voting in January 2027.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$25,215
End Date
Jan 21, 2027
Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early trader consensus for 2027 Best Actor nominations centers on Matt Damon in Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey and Tom Cruise in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s Digger, reflecting the prestige of these fall releases and long-standing narratives around overdue wins. Damon benefits from the film’s anticipated scale and Nolan’s strong Academy track record, while Cruise’s turn in a dramatic, director-driven project has generated significant industry discussion. Supporting momentum appears for Andrew Scott, John Malkovich in Wild Horse Nine, and Ryan Gosling in Project Hail Mary, though positions remain fluid ahead of the September festival circuit. Key upcoming catalysts include Venice, Telluride, and Toronto premieres, which will shape guild and critics’ awards trajectories before nominations voting in January 2027.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$25,215
End Date
Jan 21, 2027
Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Matt Damon" at 91%, followed by "Tom Cruise" at 68%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations" has generated $25.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations" is "Matt Damon" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tom Cruise" at 68%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.