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icon for Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?

Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?

icon for Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?

Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?

Dec 31

Dec 31

87% chance
Polymarket
NEW
87% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent bilateral engagement between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit in Bishkek on September 1 has reinforced the trajectory of Moscow-Tehran diplomatic contacts. The leaders reviewed implementation of their Comprehensive Strategic Partnership Treaty, discussed nuclear cooperation at Bushehr, economic ties under the Eurasian Economic Union free-trade framework, and mutual support amid regional tensions. Kremlin and Iranian statements emphasize steady expansion of high-level consultations, including prior foreign-minister meetings and multiple calls since 2025. Traders assign an 86.5% implied probability to at least one additional encounter by year-end because the institutional channels and shared strategic priorities make further meetings the baseline expectation rather than an exception.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$987
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 10:59 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent bilateral engagement between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit in Bishkek on September 1 has reinforced the trajectory of Moscow-Tehran diplomatic contacts. The leaders reviewed implementation of their Comprehensive Strategic Partnership Treaty, discussed nuclear cooperation at Bushehr, economic ties under the Eurasian Economic Union free-trade framework, and mutual support amid regional tensions. Kremlin and Iranian statements emphasize steady expansion of high-level consultations, including prior foreign-minister meetings and multiple calls since 2025. Traders assign an 86.5% implied probability to at least one additional encounter by year-end because the institutional channels and shared strategic priorities make further meetings the baseline expectation rather than an exception.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$987
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 10:59 AM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 87% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 87¢, the market collectively assigns a 87% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?" is 87% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 87% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.