The Querétaro gubernatorial race for 2027 remains fluid more than a year before the vote, with trader pricing reflecting PAN’s consistent polling lead over Morena alongside unresolved internal contests in both parties. Recent surveys show PAN support near 43-53 percent against Morena’s 22-30 percent, yet high undecided shares and shifting internal preferences among PAN figures Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero and Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera keep their respective odds close. Santiago Nieto Castillo leads Morena’s early field but trails significantly in head-to-head scenarios. The absence of formal nominations, ongoing party surveys through mid-2026, and the state’s history of PAN dominance create limited separation until candidates are confirmed and campaigns intensify.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLuis Bernardo Nava Guerrero 37%
Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera 30%
Santiago Nieto Castillo 24.9%
Teresa Calzada Rovirosa 3.5%
$23,558 Vol.
$23,558 Vol.
Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero
37%
Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera
30%
Santiago Nieto Castillo
25%
Teresa Calzada Rovirosa
3%
Laura Patricia Polo Herrera
2%
Agustín Dorantes Lámbarri
2%
Abigail Arredondo Ramos
2%
José María Tapia Franco
<1%
Ricardo Astudillo Suárez
<1%
Josué Guerrero Trápala
<1%
Guadalupe Murguía Gutiérrez
<1%
Manuel Garrido Patrón
<1%
Paul Ospital Carrera
<1%
Gilberto Herrera Ruiz
<1%
Beatriz Robles Gutiérrez
<1%
Luis Humberto Fernández Fuentes
<1%
Agustín Hernández Ortiz
<1%
Mario Mauro Ramírez González
<1%
Marco Antonio Del Prete Tercero
<1%
Paulina Aguado Romero
<1%
Astrid Alejandra Ortega Vázquez
<1%
Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero 37%
Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera 30%
Santiago Nieto Castillo 24.9%
Teresa Calzada Rovirosa 3.5%
$23,558 Vol.
$23,558 Vol.
Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero
37%
Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera
30%
Santiago Nieto Castillo
25%
Teresa Calzada Rovirosa
3%
Laura Patricia Polo Herrera
2%
Agustín Dorantes Lámbarri
2%
Abigail Arredondo Ramos
2%
José María Tapia Franco
<1%
Ricardo Astudillo Suárez
<1%
Josué Guerrero Trápala
<1%
Guadalupe Murguía Gutiérrez
<1%
Manuel Garrido Patrón
<1%
Paul Ospital Carrera
<1%
Gilberto Herrera Ruiz
<1%
Beatriz Robles Gutiérrez
<1%
Luis Humberto Fernández Fuentes
<1%
Agustín Hernández Ortiz
<1%
Mario Mauro Ramírez González
<1%
Marco Antonio Del Prete Tercero
<1%
Paulina Aguado Romero
<1%
Astrid Alejandra Ortega Vázquez
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Querétaro and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Querétaro and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Querétaro and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Querétaro and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Querétaro gubernatorial race for 2027 remains fluid more than a year before the vote, with trader pricing reflecting PAN’s consistent polling lead over Morena alongside unresolved internal contests in both parties. Recent surveys show PAN support near 43-53 percent against Morena’s 22-30 percent, yet high undecided shares and shifting internal preferences among PAN figures Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero and Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera keep their respective odds close. Santiago Nieto Castillo leads Morena’s early field but trails significantly in head-to-head scenarios. The absence of formal nominations, ongoing party surveys through mid-2026, and the state’s history of PAN dominance create limited separation until candidates are confirmed and campaigns intensify.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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