**Senate Republican leadership has repeatedly stated that the SAVE Act (or SAVE America Act, tied to H.R. 22) lacks the 60 votes needed to overcome a filibuster or secure passage in the current Congress.** The House passed versions of the bill multiple times, including a 218–213 vote on February 11, 2026, but Senate efforts have failed consistently. A June 4, 2026, amendment vote ended 48–50 after four Republicans (Susan Collins, Lisa Murkowski, Mitch McConnell, and Thom Tillis) joined Democrats in opposition. **Senate Majority Leader John Thune has indicated since February 2026 that the votes are not available and has declined to schedule further floor action.** Attempts to attach the measure to must-pass legislation—including DHS funding, the NDAA, appropriations bills, and reconciliation vehicles—have not cleared the Senate, with Democratic leaders and some GOP senators blocking inclusion. As of late August 2026, the chamber is in recess with midterms approaching, leaving little legislative calendar time. **These confirmed procedural and vote-shortfall barriers, rather than speculation, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% “No” probability.** While the House continues to advance related provisions and President Trump has pressed for action, Senate dynamics have remained unchanged through the summer. Passage would require either a rules change, reconciliation success, or a major shift in Republican support—none of which has materialized.