**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** has dominated the domestic box office since its record-setting $360 million opening weekend in late July, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, strong critical reception for its character focus, and aggressive marketing that capitalized on summer blockbuster demand. The film crossed $800 million in just 19 days—the fastest ever—and has maintained impressive holds through its fourth weekend, already reaching roughly $869 million domestically by late August. This trajectory places it on a clear path to finish between $870 million and $900 million by August 31, aligning with trader consensus at 99.2% implied probability for the 800-900m range. An upset into the 900m+ bucket would require an unprecedented late-August surge, while lower brackets are effectively ruled out absent major data revisions. Upcoming daily updates through the holiday weekend remain the final catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
800 - 900m 99.2%
900m+ <1%
<400m <1%
400 - 500m <1%
$2,088,633 Vol.
$2,088,633 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<400m
<1%
400 - 500m
<1%
500 - 600m
<1%
600 - 700m
<1%
700 - 800m
<1%
800 - 900m
99%
900m+
1%
800 - 900m 99.2%
900m+ <1%
<400m <1%
400 - 500m <1%
$2,088,633 Vol.
$2,088,633 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<400m
$49,915 Vol.
<1%
400 - 500m
$35,670 Vol.
<1%
500 - 600m
$31,489 Vol.
<1%
600 - 700m
$46,259 Vol.
<1%
700 - 800m
$138,755 Vol.
<1%
800 - 900m
$575,895 Vol.
99%
900m+
$1,210,650 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** has dominated the domestic box office since its record-setting $360 million opening weekend in late July, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, strong critical reception for its character focus, and aggressive marketing that capitalized on summer blockbuster demand. The film crossed $800 million in just 19 days—the fastest ever—and has maintained impressive holds through its fourth weekend, already reaching roughly $869 million domestically by late August. This trajectory places it on a clear path to finish between $870 million and $900 million by August 31, aligning with trader consensus at 99.2% implied probability for the 800-900m range. An upset into the 900m+ bucket would require an unprecedented late-August surge, while lower brackets are effectively ruled out absent major data revisions. Upcoming daily updates through the holiday weekend remain the final catalysts.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$2,088,633End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** has dominated the domestic box office since its record-setting $360 million opening weekend in late July, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, strong critical reception for its character focus, and aggressive marketing that capitalized on summer blockbuster demand. The film crossed $800 million in just 19 days—the fastest ever—and has maintained impressive holds through its fourth weekend, already reaching roughly $869 million domestically by late August. This trajectory places it on a clear path to finish between $870 million and $900 million by August 31, aligning with trader consensus at 99.2% implied probability for the 800-900m range. An upset into the 900m+ bucket would require an unprecedented late-August surge, while lower brackets are effectively ruled out absent major data revisions. Upcoming daily updates through the holiday weekend remain the final catalysts.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$2,088,633End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** has dominated the domestic box office since its record-setting $360 million opening weekend in late July, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, strong critical reception for its character focus, and aggressive marketing that capitalized on summer blockbuster demand. The film crossed $800 million in just 19 days—the fastest ever—and has maintained impressive holds through its fourth weekend, already reaching roughly $869 million domestically by late August. This trajectory places it on a clear path to finish between $870 million and $900 million by August 31, aligning with trader consensus at 99.2% implied probability for the 800-900m range. An upset into the 900m+ bucket would require an unprecedented late-August surge, while lower brackets are effectively ruled out absent major data revisions. Upcoming daily updates through the holiday weekend remain the final catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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