**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestic in late July and has raced to roughly $869 million by late August, driven by exceptional word-of-mouth, premium format demand, and Tom Holland-Zendaya star power that produced the fastest runs to multiple domestic milestones in franchise history. With only a few days remaining before the August 31 cutoff and daily grosses already in the low single-digit millions amid typical late-summer decay, the film is on track to finish well below $900 million domestically by the deadline. Traders see virtually no realistic path to the next brackets given the narrow window and current trajectory; an upset would require an unprecedented late surge that contradicts the observed legs and comparable superhero hold patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes)
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes)
<900m 99.1%
900 - 920m 1.0%
920 - 940m <1%
940 - 960m <1%
$552,397 Vol.
$552,397 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<900m
99%
900 - 920m
1%
920 - 940m
<1%
940 - 960m
<1%
960 - 980m
<1%
980 - 1000m
<1%
1000 - 1020m
<1%
1020 - 1040m
<1%
1040 - 1060m
<1%
1060 - 1080m
<1%
1080m+
<1%
<900m 99.1%
900 - 920m 1.0%
920 - 940m <1%
940 - 960m <1%
$552,397 Vol.
$552,397 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<900m
$127,608 Vol.
99%
900 - 920m
$114,991 Vol.
1%
920 - 940m
$44,638 Vol.
<1%
940 - 960m
$29,584 Vol.
<1%
960 - 980m
$20,264 Vol.
<1%
980 - 1000m
$8,360 Vol.
<1%
1000 - 1020m
$3,789 Vol.
<1%
1020 - 1040m
$1,764 Vol.
<1%
1040 - 1060m
$837 Vol.
<1%
1060 - 1080m
$873 Vol.
<1%
1080m+
$199,810 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestic in late July and has raced to roughly $869 million by late August, driven by exceptional word-of-mouth, premium format demand, and Tom Holland-Zendaya star power that produced the fastest runs to multiple domestic milestones in franchise history. With only a few days remaining before the August 31 cutoff and daily grosses already in the low single-digit millions amid typical late-summer decay, the film is on track to finish well below $900 million domestically by the deadline. Traders see virtually no realistic path to the next brackets given the narrow window and current trajectory; an upset would require an unprecedented late surge that contradicts the observed legs and comparable superhero hold patterns.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Volume
$552,397End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestic in late July and has raced to roughly $869 million by late August, driven by exceptional word-of-mouth, premium format demand, and Tom Holland-Zendaya star power that produced the fastest runs to multiple domestic milestones in franchise history. With only a few days remaining before the August 31 cutoff and daily grosses already in the low single-digit millions amid typical late-summer decay, the film is on track to finish well below $900 million domestically by the deadline. Traders see virtually no realistic path to the next brackets given the narrow window and current trajectory; an upset would require an unprecedented late surge that contradicts the observed legs and comparable superhero hold patterns.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$552,397End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestic in late July and has raced to roughly $869 million by late August, driven by exceptional word-of-mouth, premium format demand, and Tom Holland-Zendaya star power that produced the fastest runs to multiple domestic milestones in franchise history. With only a few days remaining before the August 31 cutoff and daily grosses already in the low single-digit millions amid typical late-summer decay, the film is on track to finish well below $900 million domestically by the deadline. Traders see virtually no realistic path to the next brackets given the narrow window and current trajectory; an upset would require an unprecedented late surge that contradicts the observed legs and comparable superhero hold patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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