Chiang Wan-an, the incumbent Kuomintang mayor of Taipei, holds a commanding 91.5% implied probability in this November 28, 2026 local election market due to consistent polling leads of 15–28 points over DPP nominee Puma Shen, high personal approval ratings near 65%, and strong retention among prior KMT voters in a city that has leaned opposition in recent cycles. Recent developments include Shen’s May nomination as a first-term legislator focused on security and urban issues via his HEART policy framework, alongside minor candidates such as Kuo Hsi drawing negligible support. Traders view Chiang’s position as resilient given his emphasis on local governance, infrastructure, and talent retention, though late shifts could arise from turnout changes, national political events, or unforeseen scandals before candidate registration closes in early September.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTaipei Mayor Election Winner
Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Chiang Wan-an 92%
Puma Shen 6.8%
Kuo Hsi <1%
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2027
Chiang Wan-an
92%
Puma Shen
7%
Kuo Hsi
<1%
Chiang Wan-an 92%
Puma Shen 6.8%
Kuo Hsi <1%
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2027
Chiang Wan-an
$2,428 Vol.
92%
Puma Shen
$1,324 Vol.
7%
Kuo Hsi
$473 Vol.
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chiang Wan-an, the incumbent Kuomintang mayor of Taipei, holds a commanding 91.5% implied probability in this November 28, 2026 local election market due to consistent polling leads of 15–28 points over DPP nominee Puma Shen, high personal approval ratings near 65%, and strong retention among prior KMT voters in a city that has leaned opposition in recent cycles. Recent developments include Shen’s May nomination as a first-term legislator focused on security and urban issues via his HEART policy framework, alongside minor candidates such as Kuo Hsi drawing negligible support. Traders view Chiang’s position as resilient given his emphasis on local governance, infrastructure, and talent retention, though late shifts could arise from turnout changes, national political events, or unforeseen scandals before candidate registration closes in early September.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 8:24 AM ET
Volume
$4,226End Date
Nov 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chiang Wan-an, the incumbent Kuomintang mayor of Taipei, holds a commanding 91.5% implied probability in this November 28, 2026 local election market due to consistent polling leads of 15–28 points over DPP nominee Puma Shen, high personal approval ratings near 65%, and strong retention among prior KMT voters in a city that has leaned opposition in recent cycles. Recent developments include Shen’s May nomination as a first-term legislator focused on security and urban issues via his HEART policy framework, alongside minor candidates such as Kuo Hsi drawing negligible support. Traders view Chiang’s position as resilient given his emphasis on local governance, infrastructure, and talent retention, though late shifts could arise from turnout changes, national political events, or unforeseen scandals before candidate registration closes in early September.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$4,226End Date
Nov 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chiang Wan-an, the incumbent Kuomintang mayor of Taipei, holds a commanding 91.5% implied probability in this November 28, 2026 local election market due to consistent polling leads of 15–28 points over DPP nominee Puma Shen, high personal approval ratings near 65%, and strong retention among prior KMT voters in a city that has leaned opposition in recent cycles. Recent developments include Shen’s May nomination as a first-term legislator focused on security and urban issues via his HEART policy framework, alongside minor candidates such as Kuo Hsi drawing negligible support. Traders view Chiang’s position as resilient given his emphasis on local governance, infrastructure, and talent retention, though late shifts could arise from turnout changes, national political events, or unforeseen scandals before candidate registration closes in early September.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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