Tom Kean Jr., the Republican representative for New Jersey’s 7th District, returned to Congress on June 30, 2026, after a nearly four-month absence for depression treatment, during which he missed over 100 votes. He delivered a floor speech disclosing the diagnosis, affirmed his recovery, and reiterated plans to serve out his term while seeking a third term in the November midterms against Democrat Rebecca Bennett. Subsequent reporting through August shows Kean resuming legislative work, participating in fundraising, and campaigning with Republican backing, including a Trump endorsement secured before the June primary. No statements, party actions, or credible reports indicate resignation or early departure before the January 2027 term end, supporting the trader consensus reflected in the “No” probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated34% chance
NEW
NEW
Jan 3, 2027
34% chance
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Jan 3, 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tom Kean Jr., the Republican representative for New Jersey’s 7th District, returned to Congress on June 30, 2026, after a nearly four-month absence for depression treatment, during which he missed over 100 votes. He delivered a floor speech disclosing the diagnosis, affirmed his recovery, and reiterated plans to serve out his term while seeking a third term in the November midterms against Democrat Rebecca Bennett. Subsequent reporting through August shows Kean resuming legislative work, participating in fundraising, and campaigning with Republican backing, including a Trump endorsement secured before the June primary. No statements, party actions, or credible reports indicate resignation or early departure before the January 2027 term end, supporting the trader consensus reflected in the “No” probability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ET
Volume
$69End Date
Jan 3, 2027Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tom Kean Jr., the Republican representative for New Jersey’s 7th District, returned to Congress on June 30, 2026, after a nearly four-month absence for depression treatment, during which he missed over 100 votes. He delivered a floor speech disclosing the diagnosis, affirmed his recovery, and reiterated plans to serve out his term while seeking a third term in the November midterms against Democrat Rebecca Bennett. Subsequent reporting through August shows Kean resuming legislative work, participating in fundraising, and campaigning with Republican backing, including a Trump endorsement secured before the June primary. No statements, party actions, or credible reports indicate resignation or early departure before the January 2027 term end, supporting the trader consensus reflected in the “No” probability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$69End Date
Jan 3, 2027Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tom Kean Jr., the Republican representative for New Jersey’s 7th District, returned to Congress on June 30, 2026, after a nearly four-month absence for depression treatment, during which he missed over 100 votes. He delivered a floor speech disclosing the diagnosis, affirmed his recovery, and reiterated plans to serve out his term while seeking a third term in the November midterms against Democrat Rebecca Bennett. Subsequent reporting through August shows Kean resuming legislative work, participating in fundraising, and campaigning with Republican backing, including a Trump endorsement secured before the June primary. No statements, party actions, or credible reports indicate resignation or early departure before the January 2027 term end, supporting the trader consensus reflected in the “No” probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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