Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in the Venezuela de facto leader market due to her installation as acting president following the January 2026 U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro, with endorsement from the Supreme Tribunal of Justice, military, and National Assembly led by her brother Jorge Rodríguez. Recent developments reinforcing this include U.S. sanctions relief, pragmatic policy shifts on oil sector reforms and political prisoner releases, and ongoing talks with factions of the opposition under Washington’s influence, even as her 180-day constitutional mandate lapsed without triggering elections. These factors have sustained institutional continuity and external backing through mid-2026. Scenarios that could challenge her lead include accelerated U.S. pressure for snap elections, unified opposition mobilization around figures like María Corina Machado, or internal Chavista fractures amid economic strains and disaster response criticism.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDelcy Rodríguez 91%
María Corina Machado 4.0%
Dinorah Figuera <1%
Edmundo González <1%
$373,538 Vol.
$373,538 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
91%
María Corina Machado
4%
Dinorah Figuera
1%
Edmundo González
1%
Nicolás Maduro
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
No Head of State
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Delcy Rodríguez 91%
María Corina Machado 4.0%
Dinorah Figuera <1%
Edmundo González <1%
$373,538 Vol.
$373,538 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
$90,701 Vol.
91%
María Corina Machado
$52,877 Vol.
4%
Dinorah Figuera
$4,243 Vol.
1%
Edmundo González
$3,954 Vol.
1%
Nicolás Maduro
$4,156 Vol.
1%
Pete Hegseth
$2,786 Vol.
1%
No Head of State
$66,886 Vol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$3,098 Vol.
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$8,193 Vol.
<1%
Marco Rubio
$6,111 Vol.
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$3,393 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$68,019 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$42,101 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$2,684 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$7,128 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$7,209 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in the Venezuela de facto leader market due to her installation as acting president following the January 2026 U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro, with endorsement from the Supreme Tribunal of Justice, military, and National Assembly led by her brother Jorge Rodríguez. Recent developments reinforcing this include U.S. sanctions relief, pragmatic policy shifts on oil sector reforms and political prisoner releases, and ongoing talks with factions of the opposition under Washington’s influence, even as her 180-day constitutional mandate lapsed without triggering elections. These factors have sustained institutional continuity and external backing through mid-2026. Scenarios that could challenge her lead include accelerated U.S. pressure for snap elections, unified opposition mobilization around figures like María Corina Machado, or internal Chavista fractures amid economic strains and disaster response criticism.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Volume
$373,538End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in the Venezuela de facto leader market due to her installation as acting president following the January 2026 U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro, with endorsement from the Supreme Tribunal of Justice, military, and National Assembly led by her brother Jorge Rodríguez. Recent developments reinforcing this include U.S. sanctions relief, pragmatic policy shifts on oil sector reforms and political prisoner releases, and ongoing talks with factions of the opposition under Washington’s influence, even as her 180-day constitutional mandate lapsed without triggering elections. These factors have sustained institutional continuity and external backing through mid-2026. Scenarios that could challenge her lead include accelerated U.S. pressure for snap elections, unified opposition mobilization around figures like María Corina Machado, or internal Chavista fractures amid economic strains and disaster response criticism.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Volume
$373,538End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in the Venezuela de facto leader market due to her installation as acting president following the January 2026 U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro, with endorsement from the Supreme Tribunal of Justice, military, and National Assembly led by her brother Jorge Rodríguez. Recent developments reinforcing this include U.S. sanctions relief, pragmatic policy shifts on oil sector reforms and political prisoner releases, and ongoing talks with factions of the opposition under Washington’s influence, even as her 180-day constitutional mandate lapsed without triggering elections. These factors have sustained institutional continuity and external backing through mid-2026. Scenarios that could challenge her lead include accelerated U.S. pressure for snap elections, unified opposition mobilization around figures like María Corina Machado, or internal Chavista fractures amid economic strains and disaster response criticism.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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