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Politics·Canada

Waterloo, ON Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Waterloo, ON Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Canada

Waterloo, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Dorothy McCabe 71%

Shannon Weber 29%

Jeyas Balaskanthan 2.1%

Jamie Hari 1.8%

Polymarket
NEW

Dorothy McCabe 71%

Shannon Weber 29%

Jeyas Balaskanthan 2.1%

Jamie Hari 1.8%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Dorothy McCabe

Dorothy McCabe

$376 Vol.

71%

icon for Shannon Weber

Shannon Weber

$200 Vol.

29%

icon for Jeyas Balaskanthan

Jeyas Balaskanthan

$121 Vol.

2%

icon for Jamie Hari

Jamie Hari

$209 Vol.

2%

icon for Jerry Jiang

Jerry Jiang

$192 Vol.

1%

The 2026 Waterloo, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Waterloo, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Waterloo, Ontario.Incumbent Dorothy McCabe leads trader assessments in the October 26 Waterloo mayoral contest due to her narrow 2022 victory and established record on housing affordability, transit, and regional advocacy since taking office. The race features a rematch with Shannon Weber, her closest challenger from four years ago, alongside three late-filing candidates—Jeyas Balaskanthan, Jamie Hari, and Jerry Jiang—who entered after nominations closed August 21. Political analysts describe the contest as competitive, citing Weber’s prior geographic strengths and the fragmented field, though McCabe benefits from incumbency, name recognition, and recent municipal activities such as provincial advocacy. No public polling exists for the race, leaving trader consensus to weigh these structural factors ahead of election day.

The 2026 Waterloo, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Waterloo, Ontario as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Waterloo, Ontario.
Volume
$1,098
End Date
Oct 26, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 2:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Waterloo, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Waterloo, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Waterloo, Ontario.
The 2026 Waterloo, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Waterloo, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Waterloo, Ontario.Incumbent Dorothy McCabe leads trader assessments in the October 26 Waterloo mayoral contest due to her narrow 2022 victory and established record on housing affordability, transit, and regional advocacy since taking office. The race features a rematch with Shannon Weber, her closest challenger from four years ago, alongside three late-filing candidates—Jeyas Balaskanthan, Jamie Hari, and Jerry Jiang—who entered after nominations closed August 21. Political analysts describe the contest as competitive, citing Weber’s prior geographic strengths and the fragmented field, though McCabe benefits from incumbency, name recognition, and recent municipal activities such as provincial advocacy. No public polling exists for the race, leaving trader consensus to weigh these structural factors ahead of election day.

The 2026 Waterloo, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Waterloo, Ontario as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Waterloo, Ontario.
Volume
$1,098
End Date
Oct 26, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 2:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Waterloo, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Waterloo, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Waterloo, Ontario.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Waterloo, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dorothy McCabe" at 71%, followed by "Shannon Weber" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Waterloo, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Waterloo, ON Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Waterloo, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is "Dorothy McCabe" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Shannon Weber" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Waterloo, ON Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.