The closely matched odds between no meeting by year-end and a summit in China reflect uncertainty over whether President Trump will attend the November 2026 APEC leaders’ meeting in Shenzhen, where Russian officials have signaled that bilateral talks with President Putin would occur if both leaders participate. Putin has confirmed his attendance, while U.S. participation remains a delegation without confirmed presidential presence. Recent phone diplomacy on Ukraine has sustained engagement without producing a new bilateral venue, and low probabilities for Russia, the United States, or other sites align with the absence of scheduled events or official signals pointing elsewhere. Developments such as confirmed U.S. attendance at APEC or alternative diplomatic announcements could shift probabilities before December 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 52%
China 43%
Russia 2.4%
Belarus 1.0%
$767,191 Vol.
$767,191 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
No meeting by December 31
52%
China
43%
Russia
2%
Belarus
1%
United States
1%
Turkey
1%
Gulf country
1%
Switzerland
1%
Other
<1%
Finland
<1%
Other EU country
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Australia
<1%
Japan
<1%
No meeting by December 31 52%
China 43%
Russia 2.4%
Belarus 1.0%
$767,191 Vol.
$767,191 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
No meeting by December 31
$145,271 Vol.
52%
China
$98,257 Vol.
43%
Russia
$83,996 Vol.
2%
Belarus
$38,918 Vol.
1%
United States
$42,697 Vol.
1%
Turkey
$34,602 Vol.
1%
Gulf country
$28,174 Vol.
1%
Switzerland
$40,635 Vol.
1%
Other
$28,361 Vol.
<1%
Finland
$36,656 Vol.
<1%
Other EU country
$33,635 Vol.
<1%
Ukraine
$25,481 Vol.
<1%
South Korea
$45,393 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$45,620 Vol.
<1%
Japan
$39,496 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The closely matched odds between no meeting by year-end and a summit in China reflect uncertainty over whether President Trump will attend the November 2026 APEC leaders’ meeting in Shenzhen, where Russian officials have signaled that bilateral talks with President Putin would occur if both leaders participate. Putin has confirmed his attendance, while U.S. participation remains a delegation without confirmed presidential presence. Recent phone diplomacy on Ukraine has sustained engagement without producing a new bilateral venue, and low probabilities for Russia, the United States, or other sites align with the absence of scheduled events or official signals pointing elsewhere. Developments such as confirmed U.S. attendance at APEC or alternative diplomatic announcements could shift probabilities before December 31.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volume
$767,191End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The closely matched odds between no meeting by year-end and a summit in China reflect uncertainty over whether President Trump will attend the November 2026 APEC leaders’ meeting in Shenzhen, where Russian officials have signaled that bilateral talks with President Putin would occur if both leaders participate. Putin has confirmed his attendance, while U.S. participation remains a delegation without confirmed presidential presence. Recent phone diplomacy on Ukraine has sustained engagement without producing a new bilateral venue, and low probabilities for Russia, the United States, or other sites align with the absence of scheduled events or official signals pointing elsewhere. Developments such as confirmed U.S. attendance at APEC or alternative diplomatic announcements could shift probabilities before December 31.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$767,191End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched odds between no meeting by year-end and a summit in China reflect uncertainty over whether President Trump will attend the November 2026 APEC leaders’ meeting in Shenzhen, where Russian officials have signaled that bilateral talks with President Putin would occur if both leaders participate. Putin has confirmed his attendance, while U.S. participation remains a delegation without confirmed presidential presence. Recent phone diplomacy on Ukraine has sustained engagement without producing a new bilateral venue, and low probabilities for Russia, the United States, or other sites align with the absence of scheduled events or official signals pointing elsewhere. Developments such as confirmed U.S. attendance at APEC or alternative diplomatic announcements could shift probabilities before December 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions