Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” has surged to an overwhelming 86.5% implied probability after its July 2026 release delivered record box office, a 95% Rotten Tomatoes score, and rapturous early Academy screenings that highlighted its epic scale, ensemble performances, and technical craft. Traders see it as the clear frontrunner for the most nominations at the 99th Academy Awards, potentially challenging recent records in Picture, Director, Adapted Screenplay, and below-the-line categories. Dune: Messiah and Project Hail Mary trail at 5.5% and 4.2% due to later release timing and more modest current momentum, though guild nominations and fall festival results could still shift the race. Historical patterns favor ambitious summer tentpoles with broad industry goodwill when they land this early.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhich film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
The Odyssey 87%
Dune: Messiah 5.5%
Project Hail Mary 4.2%
Wild Horse Nine <1%
$125,745 Vol.
$125,745 Vol.
Feb 27, 2027
The Odyssey
87%
Dune: Messiah
6%
Project Hail Mary
4%
Wild Horse Nine
1%
The Social Reckoning
1%
Disclosure Day
<1%
The Bride!
<1%
Wuthering Heights
<1%
The Odyssey 87%
Dune: Messiah 5.5%
Project Hail Mary 4.2%
Wild Horse Nine <1%
$125,745 Vol.
$125,745 Vol.
Feb 27, 2027
The Odyssey
$36,601 Vol.
87%
Dune: Messiah
$60,819 Vol.
6%
Project Hail Mary
$7,467 Vol.
4%
Wild Horse Nine
$4,389 Vol.
1%
The Social Reckoning
$3,489 Vol.
1%
Disclosure Day
$6,714 Vol.
<1%
The Bride!
$3,075 Vol.
<1%
Wuthering Heights
$3,190 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” has surged to an overwhelming 86.5% implied probability after its July 2026 release delivered record box office, a 95% Rotten Tomatoes score, and rapturous early Academy screenings that highlighted its epic scale, ensemble performances, and technical craft. Traders see it as the clear frontrunner for the most nominations at the 99th Academy Awards, potentially challenging recent records in Picture, Director, Adapted Screenplay, and below-the-line categories. Dune: Messiah and Project Hail Mary trail at 5.5% and 4.2% due to later release timing and more modest current momentum, though guild nominations and fall festival results could still shift the race. Historical patterns favor ambitious summer tentpoles with broad industry goodwill when they land this early.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$125,745End Date
Feb 28, 2027Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” has surged to an overwhelming 86.5% implied probability after its July 2026 release delivered record box office, a 95% Rotten Tomatoes score, and rapturous early Academy screenings that highlighted its epic scale, ensemble performances, and technical craft. Traders see it as the clear frontrunner for the most nominations at the 99th Academy Awards, potentially challenging recent records in Picture, Director, Adapted Screenplay, and below-the-line categories. Dune: Messiah and Project Hail Mary trail at 5.5% and 4.2% due to later release timing and more modest current momentum, though guild nominations and fall festival results could still shift the race. Historical patterns favor ambitious summer tentpoles with broad industry goodwill when they land this early.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$125,745End Date
Feb 28, 2027Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” has surged to an overwhelming 86.5% implied probability after its July 2026 release delivered record box office, a 95% Rotten Tomatoes score, and rapturous early Academy screenings that highlighted its epic scale, ensemble performances, and technical craft. Traders see it as the clear frontrunner for the most nominations at the 99th Academy Awards, potentially challenging recent records in Picture, Director, Adapted Screenplay, and below-the-line categories. Dune: Messiah and Project Hail Mary trail at 5.5% and 4.2% due to later release timing and more modest current momentum, though guild nominations and fall festival results could still shift the race. Historical patterns favor ambitious summer tentpoles with broad industry goodwill when they land this early.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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