West Virginia’s 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+20 and has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus near 96% for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Riley Moore secured the nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary and faces Democrat Ace Parsi, who prevailed in a narrow primary contest, plus two independents on the November 3 general-election ballot. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Limited campaign activity or polling since the primaries has left these fundamentals intact. A major scandal, candidate health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to overcome the district’s structural Republican advantage before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWV-02 House Election Winner
WV-02 House Election Winner
$96,619 Vol.
$96,619 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
2%
$96,619 Vol.
$96,619 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$68,399 Vol.
96%
Democratic Party
$28,220 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).West Virginia’s 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+20 and has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus near 96% for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Riley Moore secured the nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary and faces Democrat Ace Parsi, who prevailed in a narrow primary contest, plus two independents on the November 3 general-election ballot. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Limited campaign activity or polling since the primaries has left these fundamentals intact. A major scandal, candidate health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to overcome the district’s structural Republican advantage before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$96,619End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).West Virginia’s 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+20 and has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus near 96% for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Riley Moore secured the nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary and faces Democrat Ace Parsi, who prevailed in a narrow primary contest, plus two independents on the November 3 general-election ballot. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Limited campaign activity or polling since the primaries has left these fundamentals intact. A major scandal, candidate health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to overcome the district’s structural Republican advantage before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$96,619End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...West Virginia’s 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+20 and has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus near 96% for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Riley Moore secured the nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary and faces Democrat Ace Parsi, who prevailed in a narrow primary contest, plus two independents on the November 3 general-election ballot. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Limited campaign activity or polling since the primaries has left these fundamentals intact. A major scandal, candidate health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to overcome the district’s structural Republican advantage before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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