**Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody amid multiple finalized and pending convictions tied to his 2024 martial law declaration and related charges.** South Korean courts have imposed a life sentence for insurrection (under appeal), a 30-year term for a drone operation case, and a Supreme Court-upheld seven-year sentence for procedural violations and obstruction. A special counsel investigation concluded in August 2026 with additional indictments against Yoon and dozens of associates on power abuse and related allegations. Re-arrested in July 2025 after a brief 2025 release on procedural grounds, he faces extended detention as appeals and new proceedings advance under the current administration. These cumulative legal outcomes and ongoing trials underpin trader consensus that release before 2027 is unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedYoon out of custody before 2027?
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
8% chance
$201,214 Vol.
$201,214 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
8% chance
$201,214 Vol.
$201,214 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody amid multiple finalized and pending convictions tied to his 2024 martial law declaration and related charges.** South Korean courts have imposed a life sentence for insurrection (under appeal), a 30-year term for a drone operation case, and a Supreme Court-upheld seven-year sentence for procedural violations and obstruction. A special counsel investigation concluded in August 2026 with additional indictments against Yoon and dozens of associates on power abuse and related allegations. Re-arrested in July 2025 after a brief 2025 release on procedural grounds, he faces extended detention as appeals and new proceedings advance under the current administration. These cumulative legal outcomes and ongoing trials underpin trader consensus that release before 2027 is unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Volume
$201,214End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody amid multiple finalized and pending convictions tied to his 2024 martial law declaration and related charges.** South Korean courts have imposed a life sentence for insurrection (under appeal), a 30-year term for a drone operation case, and a Supreme Court-upheld seven-year sentence for procedural violations and obstruction. A special counsel investigation concluded in August 2026 with additional indictments against Yoon and dozens of associates on power abuse and related allegations. Re-arrested in July 2025 after a brief 2025 release on procedural grounds, he faces extended detention as appeals and new proceedings advance under the current administration. These cumulative legal outcomes and ongoing trials underpin trader consensus that release before 2027 is unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$201,214End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody amid multiple finalized and pending convictions tied to his 2024 martial law declaration and related charges.** South Korean courts have imposed a life sentence for insurrection (under appeal), a 30-year term for a drone operation case, and a Supreme Court-upheld seven-year sentence for procedural violations and obstruction. A special counsel investigation concluded in August 2026 with additional indictments against Yoon and dozens of associates on power abuse and related allegations. Re-arrested in July 2025 after a brief 2025 release on procedural grounds, he faces extended detention as appeals and new proceedings advance under the current administration. These cumulative legal outcomes and ongoing trials underpin trader consensus that release before 2027 is unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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