**Voter turnout in Zambia’s 13 August 2026 presidential election settled at 57.23 percent of the 8.79 million registered voters, placing it firmly in the 50-60 percent range that dominates trader pricing.** This marked a notable drop from the roughly 70 percent recorded in 2021, driven by factors including persistent household economic pressures despite debt restructuring and growth, reduced youth share on the rolls, and perceptions of an uneven campaign environment with limited opposition access. Independent monitors produced estimates clustering around 53-55 percent, reinforcing the official consolidated figure of approximately 5.03 million ballots cast. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include any formal revision to certified totals by the Electoral Commission of Zambia, successful legal challenges altering rejected-ballot or turnout calculations, or adjustments stemming from pending court petitions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedZambia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout
50-60% 97.8%
<50% 1.4%
60-70% <1%
70-80% <1%
$43,945 Vol.
$43,945 Vol.
<50%
1%
50-60%
98%
60-70%
<1%
70-80%
<1%
80%+
<1%
50-60% 97.8%
<50% 1.4%
60-70% <1%
70-80% <1%
$43,945 Vol.
$43,945 Vol.
<50%
1%
50-60%
98%
60-70%
<1%
70-80%
<1%
80%+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Voter turnout in Zambia’s 13 August 2026 presidential election settled at 57.23 percent of the 8.79 million registered voters, placing it firmly in the 50-60 percent range that dominates trader pricing.** This marked a notable drop from the roughly 70 percent recorded in 2021, driven by factors including persistent household economic pressures despite debt restructuring and growth, reduced youth share on the rolls, and perceptions of an uneven campaign environment with limited opposition access. Independent monitors produced estimates clustering around 53-55 percent, reinforcing the official consolidated figure of approximately 5.03 million ballots cast. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include any formal revision to certified totals by the Electoral Commission of Zambia, successful legal challenges altering rejected-ballot or turnout calculations, or adjustments stemming from pending court petitions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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