Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show a tight four-way contest, with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered between roughly 16-22 percent and SPD trailing further back. This compression leaves multiple parties competitive for positions three through five, sustaining high uncertainty around fourth place. Recent volatility stems from the CDU’s mid-campaign leadership switch after the outgoing mayor’s resignation and fluctuating support for the AfD and Linke amid local issues such as energy reliability and housing. With three weeks remaining, small shifts in turnout among undecided voters or modest gains by any of the leading quartet could reorder the final ranking and alter which party lands fourth. Trader consensus therefore prices several outcomes near even odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGrüne 44%
AfD 19%
SPD 13%
CDU 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
Grüne
44%
AfD
19%
SPD
13%
CDU
12%
Linke
5%
FW
5%
BSW
4%
FDP
4%
Grüne 44%
AfD 19%
SPD 13%
CDU 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
Grüne
$3,561 Vol.
44%
AfD
$94 Vol.
19%
SPD
$91 Vol.
13%
CDU
$56 Vol.
12%
Linke
$460 Vol.
5%
FW
$84 Vol.
5%
BSW
$54 Vol.
4%
FDP
$99 Vol.
4%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show a tight four-way contest, with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered between roughly 16-22 percent and SPD trailing further back. This compression leaves multiple parties competitive for positions three through five, sustaining high uncertainty around fourth place. Recent volatility stems from the CDU’s mid-campaign leadership switch after the outgoing mayor’s resignation and fluctuating support for the AfD and Linke amid local issues such as energy reliability and housing. With three weeks remaining, small shifts in turnout among undecided voters or modest gains by any of the leading quartet could reorder the final ranking and alter which party lands fourth. Trader consensus therefore prices several outcomes near even odds.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Volume
$4,499End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show a tight four-way contest, with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered between roughly 16-22 percent and SPD trailing further back. This compression leaves multiple parties competitive for positions three through five, sustaining high uncertainty around fourth place. Recent volatility stems from the CDU’s mid-campaign leadership switch after the outgoing mayor’s resignation and fluctuating support for the AfD and Linke amid local issues such as energy reliability and housing. With three weeks remaining, small shifts in turnout among undecided voters or modest gains by any of the leading quartet could reorder the final ranking and alter which party lands fourth. Trader consensus therefore prices several outcomes near even odds.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Volume
$4,499End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show a tight four-way contest, with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered between roughly 16-22 percent and SPD trailing further back. This compression leaves multiple parties competitive for positions three through five, sustaining high uncertainty around fourth place. Recent volatility stems from the CDU’s mid-campaign leadership switch after the outgoing mayor’s resignation and fluctuating support for the AfD and Linke amid local issues such as energy reliability and housing. With three weeks remaining, small shifts in turnout among undecided voters or modest gains by any of the leading quartet could reorder the final ranking and alter which party lands fourth. Trader consensus therefore prices several outcomes near even odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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