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Elections·Global Elections

Bulgaria Presidential Election

icon for Bulgaria Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova 73%

Аndrey Gyurov 25%

Nikolai Denkov <1%

Kostadin Kostadinov <1%

Polymarket

$349,893 Vol.

Iliana Iotova 73%

Аndrey Gyurov 25%

Nikolai Denkov <1%

Kostadin Kostadinov <1%

Polymarket

$349,893 Vol.

icon for Iliana Iotova

Iliana Iotova

$123,617 Vol.

73%

icon for Аndrey Gyurov

Аndrey Gyurov

$26,733 Vol.

25%

icon for Nikolai Denkov

Nikolai Denkov

$32,440 Vol.

1%

icon for Kostadin Kostadinov

Kostadin Kostadinov

$14,636 Vol.

1%

icon for Boyko Borissov

Boyko Borissov

$29,560 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rosen Zhelyazkov

Rosen Zhelyazkov

$31,726 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vassil Terziev

Vassil Terziev

$11,822 Vol.

<1%

icon for Natalia Kiselova

Natalia Kiselova

$13,748 Vol.

<1%

icon for Blagomir Kotsev

Blagomir Kotsev

$16,384 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yanaki Stoilov

Yanaki Stoilov

$12,365 Vol.

<1%

icon for Atanas Atanasov

Atanas Atanasov

$9,589 Vol.

<1%

icon for Delyan Peevski

Delyan Peevski

$8,657 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rosen Plevneliev

Rosen Plevneliev

$9,032 Vol.

<1%

icon for Krum Zarkov

Krum Zarkov

$9,585 Vol.

<1%

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Iliana Iotova holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Bulgaria’s October 25 presidential election due to her position as incumbent, strong personal approval ratings near 50 percent, and endorsements from the ruling Progressive Bulgaria coalition alongside BSP-OL and allied parties. Recent July polls showed her with roughly 40 percent initial support among likely voters when party affiliations are considered, well ahead of any rival. Andrey Gyurov, the former caretaker prime minister backed by the PP-DB opposition, sits second at 24.5 percent on the back of his administrative record and late-August confirmation of coalition support. Remaining candidates register negligible shares because of limited party infrastructure and low visibility in pre-campaign surveys. The market’s implied probabilities align with these early polling trends and the structural advantages of incumbency ahead of the September 25 campaign start.

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$349,893
End Date
Nov 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Iliana Iotova holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Bulgaria’s October 25 presidential election due to her position as incumbent, strong personal approval ratings near 50 percent, and endorsements from the ruling Progressive Bulgaria coalition alongside BSP-OL and allied parties. Recent July polls showed her with roughly 40 percent initial support among likely voters when party affiliations are considered, well ahead of any rival. Andrey Gyurov, the former caretaker prime minister backed by the PP-DB opposition, sits second at 24.5 percent on the back of his administrative record and late-August confirmation of coalition support. Remaining candidates register negligible shares because of limited party infrastructure and low visibility in pre-campaign surveys. The market’s implied probabilities align with these early polling trends and the structural advantages of incumbency ahead of the September 25 campaign start.

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$349,893
End Date
Nov 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bulgaria Presidential Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Iliana Iotova" at 73%, followed by "Аndrey Gyurov" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 73¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bulgaria Presidential Election" has generated $349.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bulgaria Presidential Election," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bulgaria Presidential Election" is "Iliana Iotova" at 73%, meaning the market assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Аndrey Gyurov" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bulgaria Presidential Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.