Wisconsin’s eight congressional districts remain under the current map for the November 2026 general election, with Republicans holding six seats and Democrats two after the 2024 cycle. The primary contest centers on the 3rd District, where Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden faces Democrat Rebecca Cooke in a rematch rated competitive by forecasters following the August 11 primaries. Cooke’s campaign targets suburban and western Wisconsin voters amid typical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party, though Van Orden’s narrow 2024 margin and district lean limit Democratic upside. The remaining districts show limited movement, with safe Republican holds in rural and exurban areas and entrenched Democratic strength in Milwaukee and Madison. Trader pricing reflects these structural factors, positioning three Democratic seats as the plurality outcome while assigning lower probability to gains beyond the single competitive district.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated3 44%
2 24%
4 21%
5+ 5.5%
NEW
NEW
Nov 2, 2026
<2
1%
2
24%
3
44%
4
21%
5+
6%
3 44%
2 24%
4 21%
5+ 5.5%
NEW
NEW
Nov 2, 2026
<2
$675 Vol.
1%
2
$1,191 Vol.
24%
3
$1,120 Vol.
44%
4
$993 Vol.
21%
5+
$837 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Wisconsin in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Wisconsin US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Wisconsin’s eight congressional districts remain under the current map for the November 2026 general election, with Republicans holding six seats and Democrats two after the 2024 cycle. The primary contest centers on the 3rd District, where Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden faces Democrat Rebecca Cooke in a rematch rated competitive by forecasters following the August 11 primaries. Cooke’s campaign targets suburban and western Wisconsin voters amid typical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party, though Van Orden’s narrow 2024 margin and district lean limit Democratic upside. The remaining districts show limited movement, with safe Republican holds in rural and exurban areas and entrenched Democratic strength in Milwaukee and Madison. Trader pricing reflects these structural factors, positioning three Democratic seats as the plurality outcome while assigning lower probability to gains beyond the single competitive district.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Wisconsin in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Wisconsin US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Wisconsin US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 10:04 AM ET
Volume
$4,817End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 10:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Wisconsin in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Wisconsin US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Wisconsin’s eight congressional districts remain under the current map for the November 2026 general election, with Republicans holding six seats and Democrats two after the 2024 cycle. The primary contest centers on the 3rd District, where Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden faces Democrat Rebecca Cooke in a rematch rated competitive by forecasters following the August 11 primaries. Cooke’s campaign targets suburban and western Wisconsin voters amid typical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party, though Van Orden’s narrow 2024 margin and district lean limit Democratic upside. The remaining districts show limited movement, with safe Republican holds in rural and exurban areas and entrenched Democratic strength in Milwaukee and Madison. Trader pricing reflects these structural factors, positioning three Democratic seats as the plurality outcome while assigning lower probability to gains beyond the single competitive district.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Wisconsin in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Wisconsin US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Wisconsin US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$4,817End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 10:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wisconsin’s eight congressional districts remain under the current map for the November 2026 general election, with Republicans holding six seats and Democrats two after the 2024 cycle. The primary contest centers on the 3rd District, where Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden faces Democrat Rebecca Cooke in a rematch rated competitive by forecasters following the August 11 primaries. Cooke’s campaign targets suburban and western Wisconsin voters amid typical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party, though Van Orden’s narrow 2024 margin and district lean limit Democratic upside. The remaining districts show limited movement, with safe Republican holds in rural and exurban areas and entrenched Democratic strength in Milwaukee and Madison. Trader pricing reflects these structural factors, positioning three Democratic seats as the plurality outcome while assigning lower probability to gains beyond the single competitive district.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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