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Politics·Main Election

Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner

icon for Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner
Politics·Main Election

Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner

Ann Kao 87%

Chuang Ching-cheng 13.0%

Ho Chih-yung 1.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Ann Kao 87%

Chuang Ching-cheng 13.0%

Ho Chih-yung 1.5%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Ann Kao

Ann Kao

$1,310 Vol.

87%

icon for Chuang Ching-cheng

Chuang Ching-cheng

$359 Vol.

13%

icon for Ho Chih-yung

Ho Chih-yung

$246 Vol.

2%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).**Ann Kao, the incumbent Hsinchu City mayor running as an independent, holds an 87.5% implied probability as the frontrunner.** Her position stems from her 2022 election victory, reinstatement in December 2025 after acquittal on appeal in a corruption case that led to her 2024 suspension, and consistent polling leads (often 40+ points) over challengers in a city with a young, highly educated electorate aligned with her tech and policy background. The KMT has opted not to nominate a candidate to honor an opposition coordination agreement, reducing fragmentation on the pan-blue side despite independent interest from figures like former spokesperson Ho Chih-yung. DPP nominee Chuang Ching-cheng (14.4%) serves as the primary opposition but faces structural disadvantages as a relative newcomer without deep local roots. Other listed candidates, including Ho Chih-yung (4.1%), register at much lower levels due to limited organizational support and polling. With candidate registration opening August 31 ahead of the November 28 vote, trader consensus reflects Kao’s incumbency advantages, legal resolution, and the absence of a unified major-party challenge rather than any single late-breaking event.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,915
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).**Ann Kao, the incumbent Hsinchu City mayor running as an independent, holds an 87.5% implied probability as the frontrunner.** Her position stems from her 2022 election victory, reinstatement in December 2025 after acquittal on appeal in a corruption case that led to her 2024 suspension, and consistent polling leads (often 40+ points) over challengers in a city with a young, highly educated electorate aligned with her tech and policy background. The KMT has opted not to nominate a candidate to honor an opposition coordination agreement, reducing fragmentation on the pan-blue side despite independent interest from figures like former spokesperson Ho Chih-yung. DPP nominee Chuang Ching-cheng (14.4%) serves as the primary opposition but faces structural disadvantages as a relative newcomer without deep local roots. Other listed candidates, including Ho Chih-yung (4.1%), register at much lower levels due to limited organizational support and polling. With candidate registration opening August 31 ahead of the November 28 vote, trader consensus reflects Kao’s incumbency advantages, legal resolution, and the absence of a unified major-party challenge rather than any single late-breaking event.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,915
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ann Kao" at 87%, followed by "Chuang Ching-cheng" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner" is "Ann Kao" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chuang Ching-cheng" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.