Mitch McConnell’s prolonged absence from Senate floor votes since his June 14, 2026 hospitalization for a fall and subsequent pneumonia has shaped trader expectations that he will not cast votes by September 30. The 84-year-old Kentucky Republican, who announced his retirement at the end of his term in January 2027, was discharged from rehabilitation in early August and continues intensive physical therapy at home. Senate attending physicians have not cleared him for return, and recent footage has highlighted mobility and procedural challenges during prior sessions. With Republicans holding a slim majority and facing appropriations deadlines, McConnell’s staff has confirmed ongoing remote engagement on legislative matters but provided no timeline for floor return, reinforcing the current trader consensus around his continued absence through the end of the month.