Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections feature a tight contest for second place among the ruling coalition’s main parties. RNI, Istiqlal (PI), and PAM currently hold the strongest implied probabilities, reflecting their 2021 seat totals, established local networks, and recent candidate-list announcements. Intra-coalition friction, including RNI accusations of PAM candidate poaching and visible leadership transitions within RNI, has kept the field fragmented. Regional strongholds, the quality of local nominees, and voter concerns over economic performance continue to shape positioning, with no single party yet demonstrating a decisive edge in the final month before voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPI 34.5%
RNI 34%
PAM 21%
PPS 3.2%
$31,157 Vol.
$31,157 Vol.

PI
34%

RNI
34%

PAM
21%

PPS
3%

UC
3%

PJD
1%

USFP
<1%

MP
<1%
PI 34.5%
RNI 34%
PAM 21%
PPS 3.2%
$31,157 Vol.
$31,157 Vol.

PI
34%

RNI
34%

PAM
21%

PPS
3%

UC
3%

PJD
1%

USFP
<1%

MP
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections feature a tight contest for second place among the ruling coalition’s main parties. RNI, Istiqlal (PI), and PAM currently hold the strongest implied probabilities, reflecting their 2021 seat totals, established local networks, and recent candidate-list announcements. Intra-coalition friction, including RNI accusations of PAM candidate poaching and visible leadership transitions within RNI, has kept the field fragmented. Regional strongholds, the quality of local nominees, and voter concerns over economic performance continue to shape positioning, with no single party yet demonstrating a decisive edge in the final month before voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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